CS2 · resolved market
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc032227c70a96f38d6eca41e25e50a0d4af3df57b92dee3c4d62c57166b5494b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Spirit, Legacy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbaf…2a03backed Legacy | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Spirit | 52c | 1,444$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.23 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed Legacy | 48c | 1,380$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.58 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit | 46c | 1,184$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.93 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Legacy | 54c | 1,047$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.42 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Spirit | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f1…2fa5backed Legacy | 52c | 415.62$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.12 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56df…22c3backed Spirit | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…4253backed Spirit | 52c | 180.37$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.58 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2a…723ebacked Legacy | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Legacy | 55c | 112.11$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.66 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Legacy | 55c | 87.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab2…66cdbacked Spirit | 52c | 55.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…c1dbbacked Legacy | 56c | 51.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 480 | 52.3%251 W · 229 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf56…22fdbacked Spirit | 48c | 45.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Spirit | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 499 | 47.5%237 W · 262 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Legacy | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Legacy | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Legacy | 44c | 29.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…f23fbacked Legacy | 56c | 28.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed Spirit | 56c | 26.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked Spirit | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.