TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,793
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,122

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,793 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5537…f9c8backed Over43c2,843$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.9930259.3%179 W · 123 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under60c2,598$1,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.655,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over44c2,454$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.7269445%312 W · 382 L-24.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under56c1,605$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.128843.1%124 W · 164 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over40c1,243$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.21,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaec4…8bc9backed Over44c1,237$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.177163.4%45 W · 26 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed Over47c1,100$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.9927438.3%105 W · 169 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under58c1,038$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.52,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed Under55c846.67$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3811428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-51.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under53c809.76$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.161,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56df…22c3backed Over45c800$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3609045.6%41 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under55c528.1$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.6561948%297 W · 322 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x304f…af95backed Under59c505.7$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.723757%135 W · 102 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x940c…6f91backed Under53c471.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa596…15e9backed Over43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006149.2%30 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over46c454.88$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.752,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over41c413.83$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.6748948.9%239 W · 250 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under54c393.94$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.243,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed Under56c382.24$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.752748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Under57c324.58$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.611,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x267c…5bfdbacked Under53c310.7$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.0317955.3%99 W · 80 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda75…e183backed Under58c308.69$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.69633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Over42c240.02$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.811,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked Over46c217.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.886450%32 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x661f…a6cabacked Over45c216.69$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.51650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under57c215.68$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.572,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x427c…9517backed Over46c197.32$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905639.3%22 W · 34 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Under55c180.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.26937.7%26 W · 43 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Under56c178.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.114746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbd3…0591backed Over50c175.56$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.781855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Under64c170.79$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.541,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3da2…22b6backed Over45c166.89$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7538945.8%178 W · 211 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over43c166$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.449536.4%180 W · 315 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under60c158.18$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.272,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under55c156.57$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.6847147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Under57c149.99$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4916550.3%83 W · 82 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under57c121$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.025,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf402…4c5abacked Over50c116.6$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581090%9 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick65cpaid+36.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6c7…0b56backed Over44c111$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.848330.1%25 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb862…a00dbacked Under65c111$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.851050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Under72c108$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.582365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Over43c105.12$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4550%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Under55c100.98$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.986741.8%28 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b23…6b2bbacked Under57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58fe…8aadbacked Over40c98.9$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7930%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8195…3fedbacked Over44c98.8$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.472751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c1…3174backed Under56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.292055%11 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e69…553abacked Under56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.296854.4%37 W · 31 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd82…6a10backed Under56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.291258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e61…2f1bbacked Under56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.29666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over37c87.34$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.071,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x312c…0f42backed Over47c84.49$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6621053.8%113 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over37c81.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0279951.7%413 W · 386 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Over45c80.34$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3468659.5%408 W · 278 L+65.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x869d…1625backed Over50c76.94$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8430%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9b4…1306backed Under59c72.97$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.97633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed Under55c72.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.077345.2%33 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Under55c72.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.076349.2%31 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Under59c65.89$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.015662.5%35 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Under55c64.55$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.059044.4%40 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc73a…ba42backed Over44c61.79$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1912455.6%69 W · 55 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed Over41c61.22$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.144343.3%192 W · 251 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88a9…e618backed Under53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.63756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Under56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.571450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Over43c51.16$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2228541.1%117 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x183b…b6e9backed Under59c51.16$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1432054.4%174 W · 146 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1f…1e14backed Under59c51.16$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1419453.6%104 W · 90 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Under65c50.2$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.691,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Over44c46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2420755.1%114 W · 93 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under56c45.62$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8513050.8%66 W · 64 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…ab49backed Under55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.454555.6%25 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b3c…a34abacked Over44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2026443.2%114 W · 150 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed Under57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.863946.2%18 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb44…f556backed Over43c43.42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.677258.3%42 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x277b…31fabacked Under53c43.2$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.312348.8%60 W · 63 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Under53c42.75$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2037922.2%84 W · 295 L-43.1wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-47.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked Under45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226749.3%33 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2d2…6b15backed Over45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed Over40c39.22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6927248.9%133 W · 139 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dc5…0528backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e1a…a659backed Over44c38.64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1712162.8%76 W · 45 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under53c38.59$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.062,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x56fa…30cebacked Under55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.363834.2%13 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd799…326cbacked Over43c36.31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.611952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8008…8f1fbacked Over44c34.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe90f…a908backed Under57c32.56$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1411656%65 W · 51 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b32…09d5backed Over47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc55b…b164backed Over43c30.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.283345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x60de…1048backed Under65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ee…456fbacked Under66c30.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4512568.8%86 W · 39 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under57c30.34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.022,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a98…639dbacked Over43c30.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135263.5%33 W · 19 L-0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1291945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Over48c27.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.139038.5%150 W · 240 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d10…780bbacked Under56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.794057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x947d…dff0backed Under56c25.86$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.382152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x472e…f338backed Under60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xece0…7dc9backed Over40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105450%27 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Over40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020447.1%96 W · 108 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x883b…82c6backed Over51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.23941%16 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.