TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc55b…b164

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Valorant, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.28
Counter-Strike: OG vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.26
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.16
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.14
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.73
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.56
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.11
Counter-Strike: RoundsGG vs Raccoons - Map 2 Winnerbacked RoundsGG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.45
Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 1 Winnerbacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$15.56
Counter-Strike: NADE vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 11backed NADE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+166.1%+$43.21
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs GenOne - Map 1 Winnerbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Counter-Strike: QUINTESSÊNCIA vs ODDIK - Map 1 Winnerbacked ODDIK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.96
Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+1.5)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$23.57
Counter-Strike: WBT vs Leo Team (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$39.58
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Metizport (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group Dbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+133.4%+$51.61
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.69
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #7 Playoffsbacked aimclub · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+71.8%+$95.92
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs WW Team (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group Bbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.9
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs WW Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked WW Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$10.62
Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Brute (+1.5)backed Brute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.8
Map Handicap: IC.A (-1.5) vs Subtop De France (+1.5)backed Subtop De France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.41
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.94
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Brute - Map 1 Winnerbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorantlast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+234.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: G2 Gozen vs ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby - Map 2 Winnerbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+364.5%+$59.03
Valorant: Mandatory vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Group Cbacked Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$14.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$44.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Luan: Maria Kalyakina vs JiaYi Wangbacked JiaYi Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.