Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: FTS vs Level UP (BO3) - Asgard Championship Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1303ecdcbe009996efcd9aaf24995014d3f5555a74a43cbec774538ec12f5f94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Level UPof FTS, Level UP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Level UP | 46c | 9,319$4,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,038.44 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed FTS | 53c | 3,832$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.14 | 479 | 53.9%258 W · 221 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked FTS | 54c | 2,747$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.27 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed FTS | 3c | 1,886$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Level UP | 62c | 1,700$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FTS | 43c | 1,614$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.43 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac4…1a34backed FTS | 67c | 1,406$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.04 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb11a…a5d9backed Level UP | 77c | 1,392$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.15 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked FTS | 46c | 1,361$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.14 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Level UP | 54c | 899.98$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.65 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebb9…1d15backed FTS | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed FTS | 43c | 715.1$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.32 | 1,113 | 36.2%403 W · 710 L | -37.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed FTS | 32c | 710.08$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.98 | 410 | 55.1%226 W · 184 L | +39.6wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Level UP | 60c | 609$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.61 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c91…3691backed FTS | 44c | 582.88$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…8bfabacked FTS | 20c | 558.04$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.15 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Level UP | 50c | 538.36$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.26 | 185 | 60.5%112 W · 73 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…09b7backed FTS | 51c | 533.79$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa7…3767backed FTS | 45c | 486.69$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Level UP | 55c | 449.98$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.49 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…e27cbacked FTS | 47c | 447.36$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.47 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Level UP | 59c | 375.17$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.82 | 534 | 44.4%237 W · 297 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e4…c6dabacked FTS | 31c | 344.07$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.6 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Level UP | 59c | 340$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.4 | 459 | 40.5%186 W · 273 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…ddd2backed FTS | 44c | 321.68$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.59 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked FTS | 44c | 311.9$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.47 | 303 | 51.2%155 W · 148 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FTS | 65c | 308.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed FTS | 53c | 300.08$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdc…9704backed FTS | 62c | 265$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.36 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3d…51b8backed FTS | 47c | 251.07$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked FTS | 39c | 225$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.81 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed FTS | 47c | 210$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.86 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc622…affdbacked FTS | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7628…eb57backed FTS | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed FTS | 35c | 193.32$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed FTS | 35c | 191.25$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d9…fa69backed FTS | 27c | 190.32$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd2…0985backed FTS | 39c | 188.76$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Level UP | 42c | 173$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.41 | 565 | 45%254 W · 311 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed Level UP | 68c | 168.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.63 | 331 | 65.3%216 W · 115 L | +23.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Level UP | 59c | 166.37$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.21 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed FTS | 11c | 157.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked FTS | 53c | 157.32$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.64 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed FTS | 34c | 151.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.07 | 409 | 33%135 W · 274 L | -36.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed FTS | 59c | 151.36$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.39 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Level UP | 68c | 144.17$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.13 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d4…a3d5backed FTS | 56c | 140$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.84 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed FTS | 56c | 140$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 258 | 55%142 W · 116 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked FTS | 34c | 135.54$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…9ffdbacked Level UP | 10c | 131.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.06 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Level UP | 49c | 130$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d8…c931backed FTS | 41c | 129.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.69 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc36e…ec80backed FTS | 44c | 129.76$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…be27backed FTS | 60c | 127.35$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.41 | 210 | 47.6%100 W · 110 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed FTS | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.92 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed FTS | 10c | 117.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 371 | 46.4%172 W · 199 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc972…77f3backed FTS | 32c | 108.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a53…71a3backed FTS | 15c | 99.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 182 | 62.6%114 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked FTS | 37c | 98.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.22 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Level UP | 73c | 95.42$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 802 | 44.9%360 W · 442 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ae…3a84backed Level UP | 73c | 94.8$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed FTS | 57c | 93.14$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 587 | 42.8%251 W · 336 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed FTS | 45c | 90.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked FTS | 56c | 90.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked FTS | 48c | 83.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 545 | 48.4%264 W · 281 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Level UP | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 535 | 33.8%181 W · 354 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Level UP | 71c | 70.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked FTS | 45c | 67.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 436 | 49.1%214 W · 222 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked Level UP | 59c | 66.75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 177 | 33.3%59 W · 118 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc55b…b164backed FTS | 58c | 66.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Level UP | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Level UP | 55c | 59.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked FTS | 51c | 59.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 285 | 47.4%135 W · 150 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked FTS | 38c | 58.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 402 | 42.3%170 W · 232 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked FTS | 39c | 57.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed FTS | 56c | 56.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 279 | 50.2%140 W · 139 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7f…6d8dbacked Level UP | 28c | 52.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FTS | 26c | 52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 889 | 38%338 W · 551 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed FTS | 76c | 49.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 417 | 39.6%165 W · 252 L | -38.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked FTS | 45c | 47.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Level UP | 40c | 46.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 1,255 | 49.6%623 W · 632 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5832…ac2cbacked FTS | 66c | 45.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed FTS | 43c | 43.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed Level UP | 62c | 43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Level UP | 45c | 40.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed FTS | 45c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…9626backed Level UP | 63c | 37.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Level UP | 44c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 497 | 32.2%160 W · 337 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked FTS | 33c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 289 | 51.9%150 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…50d4backed Level UP | 34c | 34.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb17a…f7e5backed Level UP | 79c | 33.45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Level UP | 40c | 33.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Level UP | 52c | 31.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…8703backed Level UP | 41c | 30.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed FTS | 59c | 30.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked FTS | 46c | 28.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked FTS | 38c | 27.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 326 | 6.4%21 W · 305 L | -101.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x7560…1ee1backed FTS | 41c | 27.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 211 | 33.6%71 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed FTS | 39c | 26.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 53 | 75.5%40 W · 13 L | +8.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +23%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed FTS | 48c | 22.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: FTS vs Level UP (BO3) - Asgard Championship Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: FTS vs Level UP - Game 1 WinnerLevel UP won
- Dota 2: FTS vs Level UP - Game 2 WinnerFTS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.