TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7560…1ee1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
214
Categories scored
2
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Dota2, grading 47 out of 100 (-0.02 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Dota2 at 47 out of 100; worst Valorant at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT21133.6%71 W · 140 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 211 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.81
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.86
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.82
Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$16.98
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.86
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.99
Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.16
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Iron Wing (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$17.94
Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Team Lynx (BO3) - Asgard Championship Playoffsbacked PuckChamp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$25.66
Dota 2: FTS vs Level UP (BO3) - Asgard Championship Playoffsbacked FTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - EPL Masters Group Abacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$20.42
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.86
Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Level UP (BO3) - EPL Masters Group Bbacked No Hoodwink · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.79
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs No Hoodwink (BO3) - EPL Masters Group Bbacked No Hoodwink · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers - Game 3 Winnerbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.81
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$19.28
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.86
Showing 25 of 211 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.