Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c1c0da465ad7464927185a893204a2cfea07a5d94e1e57ac24f10c381d3240e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PlayTimeof PlayTime, Yakult Brothers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $893,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,074,346
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $893,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 383 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 54c | 93,401$50,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,391.85 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Yakult Brothers | 31c | 40,339$12,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,465.05 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Yakult Brothers | 52c | 32,995$17,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,152.91 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Yakult Brothers | 42c | 20,138$8,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,481.35 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed PlayTime | 56c | 19,233$10,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,422.48 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fff…265cbacked PlayTime | 25c | 18,589$4,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,874.94 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Yakult Brothers | 32c | 15,029$4,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,835.08 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Yakult Brothers | 44c | 15,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,599.95 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yakult Brothers | 55c | 14,556$8,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,033.89 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Yakult Brothers | 44c | 13,956$6,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,172.04 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed PlayTime | 80c | 11,148$8,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,268.97 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Yakult Brothers | 64c | 10,912$6,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,976.19 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Yakult Brothers | 17c | 10,156$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.04 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…a063backed Yakult Brothers | 0c | 10,010$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed PlayTime | 56c | 9,642$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,242.61 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed PlayTime | 45c | 9,270$4,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,141.46 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed PlayTime | 59c | 8,442$4,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,453.92 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Yakult Brothers | 28c | 8,107$2,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,309.23 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Yakult Brothers | 56c | 7,747$4,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,327.4 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Yakult Brothers | 42c | 7,452$3,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,123.73 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…6fe8backed Yakult Brothers | 80c | 6,552$5,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,238.07 | 100 | 75%75 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Yakult Brothers | 66c | 5,973$3,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,929.16 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked PlayTime | 45c | 5,799$2,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,212.18 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Yakult Brothers | 56c | 4,960$2,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,774.01 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed PlayTime | 71c | 4,838$3,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.58 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed PlayTime | 14c | 4,355$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,743.71 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd4…0c98backed Yakult Brothers | 51c | 3,831$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.13 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed PlayTime | 60c | 3,763$2,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.8 | 77 | 70.1%54 W · 23 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed Yakult Brothers | 55c | 3,639$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 185 | 49.7%92 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1f…d6d5backed PlayTime | 59c | 3,220$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.34 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Yakult Brothers | 36c | 3,113$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.5 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked PlayTime | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked PlayTime | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.16 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yakult Brothers | 35c | 2,949$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.92 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83b…2d16backed Yakult Brothers | 44c | 2,890$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.48 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…92c5backed PlayTime | 31c | 2,842$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.35 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed PlayTime | 58c | 2,798$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.62 | 504 | 49.2%248 W · 256 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Yakult Brothers | 37c | 2,760$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.3 | 356 | 37.1%132 W · 224 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked PlayTime | 21c | 2,750$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,184.74 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked PlayTime | 46c | 2,744$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.45 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed PlayTime | 52c | 2,656$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.71 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Yakult Brothers | 45c | 2,502$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.18 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…7014backed Yakult Brothers | 60c | 2,481$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked PlayTime | 52c | 2,335$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.89 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Yakult Brothers | 30c | 2,331$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 474 | 50.8%241 W · 233 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958b…50cebacked PlayTime | 49c | 2,220$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.72 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +8.1wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…92b7backed Yakult Brothers | 39c | 2,168$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.62 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed PlayTime | 37c | 2,093$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.46 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8154…7d37backed Yakult Brothers | 53c | 2,025$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.26 | 202 | 33.2%67 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Yakult Brothers | 36c | 2,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed PlayTime | 24c | 1,959$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.7 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Yakult Brothers | 68c | 1,950$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.02 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Yakult Brothers | 37c | 1,933$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.97 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked PlayTime | 51c | 1,923$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.44 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Yakult Brothers | 53c | 1,918$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.91 | 185 | 60.5%112 W · 73 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab4a…823abacked PlayTime | 68c | 1,858$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.11 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6efe…8b8ebacked PlayTime | 18c | 1,760$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked PlayTime | 25c | 1,745$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.95 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked PlayTime | 45c | 1,706$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.68 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…6031backed PlayTime | 59c | 1,686$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.34 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…f85bbacked Yakult Brothers | 36c | 1,668$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.93 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yakult Brothers | 75c | 1,642$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.41 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked PlayTime | 30c | 1,595$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.48 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed Yakult Brothers | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked PlayTime | 75c | 1,505$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.81 | 785 | 41.7%327 W · 458 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd953…a9c0backed PlayTime | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.05 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed PlayTime | 59c | 1,500$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.98 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Yakult Brothers | 46c | 1,450$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.58 | 124 | 47.6%59 W · 65 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c6…b937backed PlayTime | 23c | 1,440$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.5 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Yakult Brothers | 42c | 1,400$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yakult Brothers | 1c | 1,345$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 711 | 42.6%303 W · 408 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3feb…7dfbbacked PlayTime | 25c | 1,332$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.45 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yakult Brothers | 35c | 1,278$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.24 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Yakult Brothers | 40c | 1,273$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.34 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d3…bb0abacked PlayTime | 50c | 1,248$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.38 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Yakult Brothers | 69c | 1,234$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.91 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Yakult Brothers | 46c | 1,219$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.37 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Yakult Brothers | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Yakult Brothers | 56c | 1,200$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.86 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Yakult Brothers | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed PlayTime | 31c | 1,194$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.89 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Yakult Brothers | 42c | 1,168$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.72 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Yakult Brothers | 60c | 1,166$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.84 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yakult Brothers | 15c | 1,156$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.17 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Yakult Brothers | 59c | 1,151$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.66 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Yakult Brothers | 26c | 1,151$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.05 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Yakult Brothers | 45c | 1,132$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.09 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Yakult Brothers | 79c | 1,114$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.08 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed PlayTime | 31c | 1,100$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.99 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…7067backed Yakult Brothers | 2c | 1,054$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Yakult Brothers | 55c | 1,048$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.01 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd25f…eab3backed Yakult Brothers | 22c | 1,010$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.8 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed PlayTime | 40c | 1,000$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.38 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55db…a37dbacked PlayTime | 20c | 1,000$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.2 | 67 | 70.1%47 W · 20 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Yakult Brothers | 69c | 999.98$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.99 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…be27backed Yakult Brothers | 69c | 999.97$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.98 | 210 | 47.6%100 W · 110 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed PlayTime | 46c | 999.95$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.97 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked PlayTime | 60c | 992.98$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.19 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…fafcbacked PlayTime | 29c | 992$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.88 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4078…a7f7backed PlayTime | 50c | 960.52$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.39 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers (BO5) - Games of the Future PlayoffsPlayTime won
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 WinnerPlayTime won
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers - Game 3 WinnerPlayTime won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: PlayTime (-1.5) vs Yakult Brothers (+1.5)PlayTime won
- Game Handicap: PlayTime (-2.5) vs Yakult Brothers (+2.5)PlayTime won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.