Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2288f55aadfad42931c809c7d991cee178401eb7074209bf3c42fb9b7ced7ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PlayTimeof PlayTime, Yakult Brothers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $802,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $899,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $802,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 283 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Yakult Brothers | 34c | 250,000$84,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,499.87 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed PlayTime | 66c | 158,034$104,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,602.86 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 59c | 60,552$36,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,551.87 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked PlayTime | 56c | 28,411$16,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,396.37 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed Yakult Brothers | 23c | 23,000$5,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,384.78 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83b…2d16backed PlayTime | 61c | 20,000$12,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,704.19 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Yakult Brothers | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,800 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yakult Brothers | 35c | 19,454$6,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,737.42 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed PlayTime | 74c | 16,085$11,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,241.88 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Yakult Brothers | 8c | 13,718$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.48 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed PlayTime | 70c | 12,061$8,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,644.02 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…6b9dbacked Yakult Brothers | 9c | 11,570$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.29 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked PlayTime | 63c | 11,517$7,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,296.6 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Yakult Brothers | 43c | 10,000$4,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,304.84 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Yakult Brothers | 24c | 9,442$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Yakult Brothers | 40c | 7,676$3,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,104.64 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Yakult Brothers | 37c | 7,588$2,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,795.69 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…c5ebbacked PlayTime | 66c | 7,576$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.76 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c03…522dbacked PlayTime | 67c | 7,127$4,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,345.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Yakult Brothers | 29c | 6,690$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.84 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Yakult Brothers | 34c | 6,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb496…1f45backed Yakult Brothers | 38c | 6,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Yakult Brothers | 43c | 5,821$2,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,515.2 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked Yakult Brothers | 18c | 5,052$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.33 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed PlayTime | 55c | 5,000$2,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,245.93 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed PlayTime | 66c | 4,671$3,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,588.27 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Yakult Brothers | 43c | 4,563$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.86 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked PlayTime | 66c | 4,551$3,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.8 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…92c5backed Yakult Brothers | 13c | 4,550$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.83 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked Yakult Brothers | 34c | 4,415$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed PlayTime | 60c | 4,121$2,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.95 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed PlayTime | 66c | 3,836$2,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.12 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Yakult Brothers | 44c | 3,429$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked Yakult Brothers | 3c | 3,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed PlayTime | 66c | 3,165$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.49 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…6031backed PlayTime | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.3 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Yakult Brothers | 40c | 2,976$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed PlayTime | 67c | 2,697$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.08 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed Yakult Brothers | 44c | 2,631$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.67 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked PlayTime | 56c | 2,400$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Yakult Brothers | 41c | 2,335$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.45 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…3539backed PlayTime | 75c | 2,284$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed Yakult Brothers | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde82…705dbacked Yakult Brothers | 42c | 2,222$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.24 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c6…b937backed Yakult Brothers | 42c | 2,184$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.27 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Yakult Brothers | 32c | 1,981$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.21 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked PlayTime | 66c | 1,941$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.7 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Yakult Brothers | 45c | 1,941$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.12 | 186 | 60.8%113 W · 73 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed PlayTime | 66c | 1,818$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.18 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked PlayTime | 66c | 1,818$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.18 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked PlayTime | 69c | 1,803$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.64 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed Yakult Brothers | 31c | 1,570$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.69 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Yakult Brothers | 28c | 1,561$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed PlayTime | 66c | 1,557$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.63 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Yakult Brothers | 40c | 1,546$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.85 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1f…d6d5backed PlayTime | 66c | 1,518$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.21 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked PlayTime | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Yakult Brothers | 44c | 1,500$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.1 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed PlayTime | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed Yakult Brothers | 6c | 1,417$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Yakult Brothers | 4c | 1,409$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed Yakult Brothers | 30c | 1,398$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.44 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x631a…a80fbacked Yakult Brothers | 28c | 1,393$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x083f…5c9cbacked Yakult Brothers | 35c | 1,375$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.17 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Yakult Brothers | 36c | 1,299$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.62 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da8…28e1backed Yakult Brothers | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Yakult Brothers | 45c | 1,222$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x839e…0d3cbacked Yakult Brothers | 34c | 1,200$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.99 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked PlayTime | 78c | 1,172$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.21 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…d897backed Yakult Brothers | 43c | 1,164$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed PlayTime | 67c | 1,139$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.29 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Yakult Brothers | 44c | 1,114$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.28 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Yakult Brothers | 44c | 1,112$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.45 | 153 | 38.6%59 W · 94 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked PlayTime | 55c | 1,068$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.65 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Yakult Brothers | 28c | 1,041$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.39 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed PlayTime | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Yakult Brothers | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…2978backed Yakult Brothers | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Yakult Brothers | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Yakult Brothers | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked PlayTime | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Yakult Brothers | 32c | 999.98$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.99 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Yakult Brothers | 19c | 948.38$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.09 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8154…7d37backed Yakult Brothers | 36c | 948$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.8 | 202 | 33.2%67 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Yakult Brothers | 37c | 900$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed PlayTime | 69c | 896.69$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.1 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x266e…90f3backed Yakult Brothers | 35c | 888$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.8 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3feb…7dfbbacked Yakult Brothers | 21c | 888$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.48 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Yakult Brothers | 34c | 883.11$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…1b8ebacked Yakult Brothers | 17c | 878.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 224 | 38.8%87 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…ddd2backed Yakult Brothers | 26c | 842.16$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.7 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | +16.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0af2…a2bbbacked Yakult Brothers | 34c | 824.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.5 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…be27backed Yakult Brothers | 43c | 811.18$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.65 | 210 | 47.6%100 W · 110 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…1ba0backed PlayTime | 64c | 799.99$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Yakult Brothers | 43c | 743.32$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.63 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed PlayTime | 77c | 722.85$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.35 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked PlayTime | 68c | 711.74$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.34 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd25f…eab3backed Yakult Brothers | 25c | 700$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.56 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed PlayTime | 56c | 699.98$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.99 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked PlayTime | 62c | 653.24$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.17 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers (BO5) - Games of the Future PlayoffsPlayTime won
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 WinnerPlayTime won
- Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers - Game 3 WinnerPlayTime won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: PlayTime (-1.5) vs Yakult Brothers (+1.5)PlayTime won
- Game Handicap: PlayTime (-2.5) vs Yakult Brothers (+2.5)PlayTime won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.