TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9c03…522d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
116
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Lol, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 58 out of 100; worst CS2 at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT4553.3%24 W · 21 L+5.3wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+39.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$82.23
Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.49
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$40
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.88
LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,862Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,862.28
LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,866Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,865.98
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$5,629Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,629.11
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,809Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,809.31
LoL: LYON vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$796Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$795.78
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+203.6%+$100.6
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+49.2%+$221.43
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,041Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+105.7%+$1,100.37
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$577.12
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,457Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+106.7%+$1,553.94
LoL: SK Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$482.84
LoL: SK Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.49
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,928Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,928.19
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,516Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+93.4%+$2,349.58
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,498Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,497.73
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,620Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$1,274.37
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,714Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$2,918.98
LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$752Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$209.25
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$369.84
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+85.3%+$133.33
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT3030%9 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.01
France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.85
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.33
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$732Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$732.44
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$369.05
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$365.15
Luis Díaz: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,209.42
Colombia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,142.85
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.81
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$539Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$539.32
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$153.77
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+168.5%+$185.05
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$583Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$583.48
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,099Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,099.47
Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.56
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$133.4
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.9
England vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.45
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104.82
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$471Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$1,273.01
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.01
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-46.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.7
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$562Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$561.89
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.03
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)backed Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,113Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,112.84
Athletics vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,562Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,561.51
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$31.85
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,871Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,871.27
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$851Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$851.03
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,011Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,010.51
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,065Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,065.24
Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$513Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$513.26
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,476Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+353.4%+$5,215.77
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,001.16
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$658.07
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,518Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,517.61
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankeesbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,239Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$1,323.31
All 17 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1711.8%2 W · 15 L-5.1wins-0.30per pick42cpaid-78.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
CS2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.17
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group Cbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.71
Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #7 Play-Inbacked Noir Verse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,319.63
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$482.1
Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs MEIA NOITE (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked MEIA NOITE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,131Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,130.76
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Misa Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Group Dbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,756Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$869.2
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.87
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.33
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.7
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.89
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.44
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.95
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$166.66
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.25
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.86
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.27
All 17 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+43.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.