Fifa International · resolved market
Luis Díaz: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46527b7dafbb3215e56570be0dd6240c1280798fd319a99474542a498d284136
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Yes | 37c | 42,051$15,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,750 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 62c | 25,217$15,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,673.19 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Yes | 39c | 24,490$9,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,572.74 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 62c | 15,710$9,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,989.69 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked No | 61c | 13,608$8,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,306.97 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed No | 64c | 13,500$8,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,859.99 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed No | 63c | 8,594$5,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,160.88 | 240 | 58.8%141 W · 99 L | +19.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…29ebbacked No | 61c | 5,555$3,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.44 | 131 | 63.4%83 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 63c | 5,543$3,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.74 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 61c | 5,301$3,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.43 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Yes | 39c | 5,128$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 214 | 42.5%91 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c03…522dbacked Yes | 27c | 4,517$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.42 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed No | 73c | 4,007$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.92 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d4…2983backed Yes | 39c | 3,274$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 36c | 3,193$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.48 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c1…c1a4backed Yes | 33c | 2,874$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.97 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 62c | 2,606$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.1 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Yes | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9067…8cf5backed Yes | 40c | 2,504$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.91 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No | 70c | 2,272$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.71 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed No | 66c | 2,032$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.74 | 362 | 50%181 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb76a…9ac8backed Yes | 36c | 1,594$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 36c | 1,528$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 37c | 1,486$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.71 | 302 | 20.2%61 W · 241 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked No | 66c | 1,464$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.69 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…f5f5backed Yes | 39c | 1,400$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 32c | 1,385$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.2 | 361 | 23.5%85 W · 276 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 62c | 1,250$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.63 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x120b…8eeabacked Yes | 39c | 1,095$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed No | 70c | 1,094$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.4 | 462 | 30.1%139 W · 323 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc32…92d2backed Yes | 25c | 1,002$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.53 | 103 | 55.3%57 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 60c | 1,002$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.34 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed No | 63c | 990$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.2 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Yes | 39c | 959.26$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.11 | 278 | 20.1%56 W · 222 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Yes | 39c | 891.4$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.65 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 27c | 882$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.17 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked Yes | 39c | 813.75$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.36 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 61c | 760.7$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.21 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…07cabacked Yes | 33c | 751.15$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 64c | 700$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes | 36c | 686.31$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 111 | 65.8%73 W · 38 L | +15.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 64c | 676.09$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.31 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 36c | 666.67$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Yes | 72c | 666.66$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.24 | 132 | 68.2%90 W · 42 L | +20.0wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Yes | 39c | 641.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4466…81a8backed Yes | 3c | 636$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4e…bd80backed Yes | 34c | 593.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 35c | 583.9$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.37 | 406 | 49.8%202 W · 204 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…f595backed No | 74c | 579.49$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.49 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb294…a9f4backed No | 75c | 560$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…489fbacked Yes | 37c | 526.42$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.85 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…808ebacked No | 61c | 517.55$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.84 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed No | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd61f…c6a6backed No | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 128 | 75.8%97 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27b9…90d0backed No | 70c | 482$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.96 | 163 | 36.2%59 W · 104 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed No | 62c | 479.2$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.86 | 399 | 51.6%206 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed Yes | 39c | 473.92$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.83 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 63c | 464.61$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.25 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…2366backed No | 68c | 431$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e34…625dbacked Yes | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 77 | 14.3%11 W · 66 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Yes | 39c | 404.14$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.46 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Yes | 37c | 402.98$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.1 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe14…c27dbacked No | 63c | 399.39$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.39 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +5.9wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 38c | 369.36$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.41 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a51…f305backed Yes | 39c | 363.97$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.95 | 188 | 27.7%52 W · 136 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 32c | 361.38$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.35 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Yes | 38c | 337.87$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.39 | 234 | 43.6%102 W · 132 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 64c | 333.13$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.58 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 68c | 325.46$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.06 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 65c | 322.98$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.27 | 254 | 54.7%139 W · 115 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x071c…bab9backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fc…f25abacked Yes | 32c | 304.88$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.93 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62e9…e618backed Yes | 34c | 302$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.72 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…d3dbbacked Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 389 | 24.4%95 W · 294 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 39c | 299$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.72 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 25c | 283.43$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.57 | 451 | 45%203 W · 248 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 37c | 278.15$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.13 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e0…32dfbacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…c149backed Yes | 36c | 277.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08b2…bed6backed No | 66c | 274$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.16 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f0…5e9cbacked Yes | 39c | 269.05$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.93 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfedd…3d6dbacked No | 67c | 265.67$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.67 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Yes | 26c | 264.34$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.15 | 423 | 36.9%156 W · 267 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked No | 66c | 251.37$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.47 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…e0c1backed Yes | 40c | 250.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…38c6backed Yes | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…bab8backed Yes | 37c | 245.95$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…e314backed Yes | 39c | 245$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.55 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +147.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Yes | 39c | 242.97$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.76 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +11.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…fb00backed No | 64c | 231.1$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 82 | 64.6%53 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…d7bebacked Yes | 32c | 226.33$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.63 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f24…3a09backed No | 63c | 225.4$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.4 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Luis Díaz: 1+ goalsthis page
- Antoine Semenyo: 1+ assistsNo won
- Antoine Semenyo: 1+ goalsNo won
- Antoine Semenyo: 2+ assistsNo won
- Antoine Semenyo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Antoine Semenyo: 3+ shotsYes won
- Antoine Semenyo: 4+ shotsNo won
- Iñaki Williams: 1+ goalsNo won
- James Rodríguez: 1+ assistsNo won
- James Rodríguez: 1+ goalsNo won
- James Rodríguez: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jordan Ayew: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jordan Ayew: 2+ assistsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 1+ assistsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 1+ shotsYes won
- Luis Díaz: 2+ assistsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 2+ goalsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 3+ goalsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 3+ shotsYes won
- Luis Díaz: 4+ shotsYes won
- Luis Suárez: 1+ assistsYes won
- Luis Suárez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Luis Suárez: 2+ goalsNo won
- Luis Suárez: 2+ goals + assistsNo won
- Luis Suárez: 3+ shotsNo won
- Luis Suárez: 4+ shotsNo won
- Prince Adu Kwabena: 1+ goalsNo won
- Richard Ríos: 3+ shotsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.