Fifa International · resolved market
Luis Suárez: 1+ assists
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90910aab5ee421f1bc5430ddd20a05a3b5f4d336de97512fcad81000ca33ba26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa566…72debacked Yes | 75c | 3,210$2,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.75 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 32c | 1,438$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.53 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 29c | 999.58$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.76 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x802e…76fdbacked Yes | 69c | 867.18$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.18 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 34c | 838.16$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.1 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked No | 35c | 800$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked Yes | 79c | 557.54$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.91 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 26c | 470.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.08 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad5b…d645backed Yes | 62c | 403.47$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…577ebacked No | 17c | 325.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 74c | 200.47$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.29 | 210 | 58.1%122 W · 88 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 19c | 184$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4753…41adbacked No | 60c | 107.77$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.31 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked No | 35c | 78.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed No | 38c | 64.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90e6…87a4backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 31c | 45.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 190 | 64.2%122 W · 68 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 29c | 44.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 61c | 37.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 209 | 68.4%143 W · 66 L | +21.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd03d…107ebacked Yes | 69c | 29.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 56c | 28.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2988…b479backed No | 40c | 27.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Luis Suárez: 1+ assiststhis page
- Antoine Semenyo: 1+ assistsNo won
- Antoine Semenyo: 1+ goalsNo won
- Antoine Semenyo: 2+ assistsNo won
- Antoine Semenyo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Antoine Semenyo: 3+ shotsYes won
- Antoine Semenyo: 4+ shotsNo won
- Iñaki Williams: 1+ goalsNo won
- James Rodríguez: 1+ assistsNo won
- James Rodríguez: 1+ goalsNo won
- James Rodríguez: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jordan Ayew: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jordan Ayew: 2+ assistsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 1+ assistsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 1+ goalsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 1+ shotsYes won
- Luis Díaz: 2+ assistsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 2+ goalsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 3+ goalsNo won
- Luis Díaz: 3+ shotsYes won
- Luis Díaz: 4+ shotsYes won
- Luis Suárez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Luis Suárez: 2+ goalsNo won
- Luis Suárez: 2+ goals + assistsNo won
- Luis Suárez: 3+ shotsNo won
- Luis Suárez: 4+ shotsNo won
- Prince Adu Kwabena: 1+ goalsNo won
- Richard Ríos: 3+ shotsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.