TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x90e6…87a4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Asian League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT2755.6%15 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.5
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$7.81
Dota 2: Heroic vs South America Rejects - Game 3 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.46
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.1
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs L1ga Team (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 3 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$73
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+25.3%+$12.1
Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$43.2
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+53.8%+$21
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+127.3%+$33.6
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+81.8%+$18
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+132.6%+$22.8
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brahim Díaz: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Luis Suárez: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$6
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.8
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.5
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.5
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$15.75
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$6
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-49.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptistebacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Phoenix: Jay Dylan Friend vs Marcos Gironbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$6.5
BNP Paribas Open: Ben Shelton vs Reilly Opelkabacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
BNP Paribas Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$26
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Vit Kopriva vs Dalibor Svrcinabacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Francesco Maestrellibacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$21
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Elias Ymer vs Coleman Wongbacked Elias Ymer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Mexican Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Flavio Cobollibacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.05
Mexican Open: Alexander Zverev vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$50.8
Chile Open: Mariano Navone vs Luciano Darderibacked Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+42.9%+$9
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+100.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$10.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.