TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$137,553
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,519

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,553 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 294 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No62c25,180$15,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,686.958,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes46c12,653$5,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,778.332,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes49c10,653$5,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,187.531050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed No51c8,572$4,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,164.47650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No57c7,486$4,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,190.112,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No50c7,225$3,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,598.435,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb22…6478backed No50c6,212$3,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,106.0229446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No51c5,005$2,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,436.531,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaf3…e802backed Yes22c5,000$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Yes49c4,589$2,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,248.45650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes42c3,509$1,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490.9827133.9%92 W · 179 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe09a…4ca2backed Yes50c3,200$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bc6…a5bdbacked Yes21c2,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+152.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes52c2,484$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29812338.2%47 W · 76 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked No51c2,353$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.944652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes43c2,230$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.7612541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde8f…2c72backed Yes41c1,917$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.11922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes43c1,911$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.2921640.3%87 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Yes54c1,850$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99911855.1%65 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Yes29c1,724$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007034.3%24 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed No57c1,718$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.2710446.2%48 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No46c1,642$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.791,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96d4…fe34backed Yes54c1,625$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.971338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-30%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Yes32c1,575$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008343.4%36 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c50…89b6backed Yes54c1,501$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.42462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Yes1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15185.6%1 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick5cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No48c1,470$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.1819952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes31c1,429$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4434022.5%9 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf919…3241backed No41c1,425$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.07650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes54c1,274$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6888447.6%40 W · 44 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No46c1,200$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64823057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes33c1,036$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.0226745.3%121 W · 146 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes29c1,034$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30046530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Yes49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023542.1%99 W · 136 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes45c1,017$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.557125.4%18 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No60c1,011$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.521,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011565.2%75 W · 40 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Yes43c1,000$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.851717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10472.1%1 W · 46 L+0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid+59.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes57c883.2$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.8619953.3%106 W · 93 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes52c880.87$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.361,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed No50c860.38$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.385050%25 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90e4…58eabacked No38c853.61$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.66475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+79.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes35c832.04$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.911,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No52c826.99$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.7723254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No51c818.28$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.121,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7d…0efebacked Yes50c656$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3281631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-36.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed Yes29c648.58$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.1218543.2%80 W · 105 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0e…1461backed No73c635$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.953100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes50c583.51$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.761,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006827.9%19 W · 49 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes34c561.14$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.920055%110 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007852.6%41 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5428…e46abacked Yes19c528.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001560%9 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1782…892fbacked Yes10c514$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.42045%9 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+74.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003141.9%13 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc661…610abacked Yes29c499.76$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.931030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes45c481.52$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.9451945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d2c…86bcbacked Yes49c479.59$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4650…b4babacked Yes50c479.59$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+150%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6861…b317backed Yes44c475.83$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.562040%8 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No62c442.29$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.921,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed Yes24c415.68$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.555322.6%12 W · 41 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-33.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Yes35c400$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1393735.1%13 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4753…41adbacked Yes64c400$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.592138.1%8 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+34.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes55c400$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.542250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…ed8dbacked Yes50c394.12$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.061421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick41cpaid-51%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5cfd…ca1bbacked Yes51c393.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed No51c392.07$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.113243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb294…a9f4backed Yes43c389.9$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1671540%6 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+49.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2320…4869backed Yes59c383.69$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x609d…7082backed Yes54c371.72$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.7320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No54c368.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.517763.6%49 W · 28 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed Yes41c368.49$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012439.5%49 W · 75 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5370…84adbacked Yes48c360$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1721838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-39.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0335…caf1backed Yes49c357.16$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.01616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-66%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked No56c356.92$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.928535.3%30 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Yes50c349.29$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1732839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4748…9666backed Yes42c345.24$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1454738.3%18 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes48c329.97$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.393315.2%5 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e30…5629backed Yes29c310.23$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e02…3667backed Yes49c300$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.51338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+56.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57c3…44b8backed Yes29c296.93$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.114242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed No53c276.9$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.672263.6%14 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+35%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6ac7…c99abacked Yes53c262.23$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.982055%11 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a94…b335backed Yes43c260$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1123145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x202b…e209backed Yes41c245.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001225%3 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-39.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No50c244.56$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.321,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No51c244.18$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.661,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No51c241.68$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.427060%42 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No49c238.98$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.93,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8345…5928backed Yes51c215.69$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-49.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No40c215.22$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.1333745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb43b…f637backed Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick57cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes48c212.68$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1529047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf57c…66febacked Yes23c212.36$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes49c210$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.921349.8%106 W · 107 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Yes60c209.85$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9716842.9%72 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dbf…7776backed No51c203.45$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.691747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6925…d76dbacked Yes31c198.61$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9170%0 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.