TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-05-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,623
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,901

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,623 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa796…82fdbacked Yes54c22,425$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,425.371947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No51c7,184$3,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,669.972,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No46c6,787$3,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,143.192,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No60c6,557$3,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,944.8613956.1%78 W · 61 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No56c4,219$2,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,365.095,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfe3…c693backed Yes52c4,042$2,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,940.081741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes47c2,191$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.578457.1%48 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9f9…0eaabacked Yes44c2,049$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.523823.7%9 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Yes48c1,856$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.121450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed Yes50c1,704$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.071080%8 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+55.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x94d4…d869backed Yes27c1,539$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+225.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No46c1,258$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.51,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No48c1,200$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57612552.8%66 W · 59 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked No48c1,072$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.3414848%71 W · 77 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed No48c1,063$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.474557.8%26 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No47c800$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37618353%97 W · 86 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No18c718.47$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.1336142.4%153 W · 208 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes63c649.68$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.1818952.9%100 W · 89 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28212050%60 W · 60 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No46c502$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.921,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No8c469.83$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5528251.4%145 W · 137 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x344f…1a45backed Yes51c466.4$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.4944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed No52c399.99$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2082560%15 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed No51c382.57$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.628435.7%30 W · 54 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed Yes24c375$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28514942.3%63 W · 86 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xced7…b7b5backed Yes44c353.4$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.036759.7%40 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No47c350$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.513154.2%71 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14117247.1%81 W · 91 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1548…fe8ebacked No56c293.55$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.391643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No50c280.18$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.0948768%331 W · 156 L+69.2wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+37.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes26c275.12$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.5921830.7%67 W · 151 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No46c271$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.6693446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No46c271$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.661,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No46c254$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.931,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12020138.3%77 W · 124 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac25…147abacked Yes52c239.48$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ef2…5584backed Yes23c231$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.87875%6 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+76.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No8c228.66$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8292835%325 W · 603 L-22.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x63a4…6c04backed Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.272343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa590…271cbacked Yes24c219.27$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.23977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+42.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No48c201.98$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9589955.1%495 W · 404 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes59c200.08$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.11,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c07…4529backed Yes41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1186738.8%26 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9415349.7%76 W · 77 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No46c196$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1616856%94 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ca5…a155backed Yes52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.31977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick67cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59b4…73e0backed Yes51c188.24$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.247143.7%31 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+42.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Yes31c182$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.9720256.4%114 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes51c173$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.771,02841.7%429 W · 599 L-31.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No47c165.98$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0147155.8%263 W · 208 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No48c163$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2418353.6%98 W · 85 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.521152.1%110 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.514453.5%77 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes38c146.21$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.951637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Yes36c143.98$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.781936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3090…be73backed Yes49c136.44$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.414663%29 W · 17 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Yes19c131.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.5718838.8%73 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a60…1c0dbacked Yes47c127.4$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.41457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes24c125$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957853.8%42 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No57c123.61$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.916252.5%85 W · 77 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Yes50c121.38$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6912244.3%54 W · 68 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No47c120$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.415050.7%76 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No47c120$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.414452.1%75 W · 69 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes48c114.58$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5810344.7%46 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No73c111.86$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3227639.1%108 W · 168 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb41e…db27backed Yes37c106.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.67955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdba1…7198backed Yes38c105.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+43.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd679…91a0backed Yes48c103.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.35977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+46.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbaa8…645bbacked Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4715454.5%84 W · 70 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4716152.2%84 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes51c99.93$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.977948.1%38 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1378…681bbacked No56c98.21$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No47c98$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0617757.6%102 W · 75 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26e5…b770backed No51c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49ab…a1bfbacked Yes33c92.03$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.03728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4497…d5a3backed Yes54c91.13$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.133043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe479…70dfbacked Yes33c90.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.831931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd83c…6b83backed Yes33c89.9$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.96334.9%22 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed No47c88.84$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.764447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No47c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.612652.4%66 W · 60 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Yes51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4319751.8%102 W · 95 L+15.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No62c74.24$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0296846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes35c72.38$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3838737.5%145 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes55c72.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.715772%113 W · 44 L+33.9wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+63.8%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xfbad…4f53backed Yes69c72.23$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.234753.2%25 W · 22 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No47c70$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.918256%102 W · 80 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No47c70$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.914953.7%80 W · 69 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf732…4933backed No50c69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Yes51c68.08$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.364938.8%19 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No48c67.16$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.241,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes68c66.43$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0382053.8%441 W · 379 L+25.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No53c65.12$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5173850.3%371 W · 367 L-2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No61c63.69$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7930464.8%197 W · 107 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No70c63.44$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.131,30956.8%743 W · 566 L+66.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked No48c60.84$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.214351.7%74 W · 69 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed No50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308166.7%54 W · 27 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf3db…97a6backed Yes50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes31c60$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.42634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Yes51c58.37$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.371346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.