Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd4ee6ef6863c50bc103ef459fc24efda0a4df87ebcc76133ddaaf7b88d76a21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof PARIVISION, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $253,419
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $265,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $253,419 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Falcons | 40c | 29,673$11,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,934.42 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked PARIVISION | 60c | 19,785$11,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,952 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked PARIVISION | 47c | 16,543$7,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,739.74 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked PARIVISION | 64c | 13,460$8,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,612.4 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Team Falcons | 46c | 13,349$6,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,169.82 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Team Falcons | 45c | 10,011$4,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,456.43 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION | 56c | 7,679$4,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,265.91 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Falcons | 70c | 7,260$5,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150.54 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Falcons | 44c | 7,126$3,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,969.09 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed PARIVISION | 60c | 5,945$3,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,578.35 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed PARIVISION | 61c | 5,593$3,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,411.94 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed PARIVISION | 57c | 4,983$2,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,840.04 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed PARIVISION | 53c | 4,947$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed PARIVISION | 37c | 3,530$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked PARIVISION | 52c | 3,165$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.27 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed PARIVISION | 34c | 3,126$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.09 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Team Falcons | 49c | 2,228$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +33%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Team Falcons | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.68 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…fe4abacked PARIVISION | 59c | 1,746$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.57 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed PARIVISION | 62c | 1,602$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cad…6ce4backed Team Falcons | 74c | 1,550$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.84 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed PARIVISION | 31c | 1,528$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.74 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Team Falcons | 46c | 1,500$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.99 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed PARIVISION | 56c | 1,426$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed Team Falcons | 45c | 1,413$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.2 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed PARIVISION | 40c | 1,251$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.17 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION | 51c | 1,230$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.98 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Team Falcons | 44c | 1,133$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.79 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Falcons | 45c | 1,086$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.73 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Team Falcons | 48c | 1,039$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.89 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed PARIVISION | 59c | 1,023$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Falcons | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked PARIVISION | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b3…be68backed PARIVISION | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7596…9773backed PARIVISION | 53c | 975.71$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6450…9547backed Team Falcons | 40c | 933.26$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.37 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked PARIVISION | 55c | 915.2$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked PARIVISION | 56c | 892.63$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefae…5cd1backed PARIVISION | 53c | 847.17$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Falcons | 42c | 811.27$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.54 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…48c0backed Team Falcons | 67c | 671.69$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.84 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e7…705bbacked Team Falcons | 43c | 633$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…e194backed Team Falcons | 49c | 628.15$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.65 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…ba9ebacked Team Falcons | 49c | 623.22$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.84 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Falcons | 45c | 605.69$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.66 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Falcons | 42c | 600$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…156fbacked Team Falcons | 43c | 563.49$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.49 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 533.39$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.03 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked PARIVISION | 57c | 522.58$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.59 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe6…5d3fbacked PARIVISION | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Team Falcons | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed Team Falcons | 50c | 480$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 459.95$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.95 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Team Falcons | 38c | 458.79$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.09 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Team Falcons | 56c | 452.51$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.65 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…5299backed PARIVISION | 14c | 439.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc296…0fdcbacked PARIVISION | 7c | 438.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Team Falcons | 46c | 436.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.78 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed PARIVISION | 50c | 414.47$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.78 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Team Falcons | 55c | 410.66$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.58 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked PARIVISION | 63c | 405.23$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.19 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked PARIVISION | 57c | 399.38$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.82 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Team Falcons | 46c | 389.96$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.58 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Falcons | 64c | 361.63$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.19 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked PARIVISION | 50c | 355.67$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.39 | 217 | 42.9%93 W · 124 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Team Falcons | 42c | 340$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.9 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed Team Falcons | 47c | 334$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.02 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Team Falcons | 68c | 329.82$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.39 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked PARIVISION | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked PARIVISION | 52c | 299.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed PARIVISION | 56c | 284$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.04 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f72…adc6backed Team Falcons | 38c | 264.76$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.15 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed PARIVISION | 61c | 264.34$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.6 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc76…3af1backed Team Falcons | 48c | 260.9$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.08 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked PARIVISION | 61c | 253.53$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.65 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Team Falcons | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c0…23d8backed PARIVISION | 53c | 247.46$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 239 | 57.3%137 W · 102 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac23…c1fcbacked Team Falcons | 41c | 226.36$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.96 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd750…bdc2backed PARIVISION | 58c | 223.21$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c9…6b8bbacked PARIVISION | 23c | 218.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Team Falcons | 43c | 210.58$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.57 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee3…4095backed Team Falcons | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Team Falcons | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked PARIVISION | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed PARIVISION | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.69 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed PARIVISION | 57c | 195.55$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.64 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed PARIVISION | 42c | 190$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.3 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed PARIVISION | 53c | 189.81$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed PARIVISION | 57c | 189.22$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.43 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5261…3ddbbacked Team Falcons | 38c | 184.21$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.21 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bef…be32backed Team Falcons | 40c | 175$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked PARIVISION | 58c | 172.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed PARIVISION | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed PARIVISION | 50c | 172.08$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8d…9fb0backed PARIVISION | 52c | 169.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed PARIVISION | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed PARIVISION | 55c | 159.19$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.22 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x899e…0863backed PARIVISION | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed Team Falcons | 42c | 152.72$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.99 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed PARIVISION | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 205 | 30.7%63 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2PARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)PARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.