Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12965362b9b1b9c555623ebc423abe5a3ca2f3d5b53bd2ceb408626e0b605e8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked PARIVISION | 53c | 9,962$5,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,710.88 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Team Falcons | 54c | 6,633$3,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,570.72 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION | 48c | 6,432$3,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,331.63 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 5,381$2,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,801.57 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed Team Falcons | 58c | 5,300$3,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,073.97 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked PARIVISION | 44c | 4,931$2,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,778.34 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Team Falcons | 58c | 4,538$2,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,610.9 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed PARIVISION | 52c | 4,003$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.65 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Team Falcons | 48c | 3,794$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.77 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 47c | 3,327$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.39 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Team Falcons | 64c | 3,103$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 2,352$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.37 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked PARIVISION | 47c | 2,249$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.13 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed PARIVISION | 43c | 2,100$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed PARIVISION | 49c | 2,050$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.16 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Falcons | 50c | 2,003$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.99 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed PARIVISION | 52c | 1,604$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.55 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 1,455$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce61…8ef6backed Team Falcons | 24c | 1,200$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed PARIVISION | 55c | 1,190$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.46 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6450…9547backed PARIVISION | 42c | 1,071$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.43 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Falcons | 48c | 1,064$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.74 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed Team Falcons | 59c | 1,026$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.27 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed PARIVISION | 49c | 1,025$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.01 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Team Falcons | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Falcons | 65c | 837.97$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.69 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed PARIVISION | 52c | 829.19$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.01 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Team Falcons | 48c | 829.19$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.01 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed Team Falcons | 61c | 822.81$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked PARIVISION | 49c | 799.99$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Falcons | 70c | 773.87$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.41 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed PARIVISION | 40c | 746.22$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.22 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…e194backed PARIVISION | 49c | 705.29$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.2 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked PARIVISION | 54c | 632.29$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.34 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Team Falcons | 51c | 587.06$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.4 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c6…4cf3backed Team Falcons | 54c | 556$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.24 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 522.84$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked PARIVISION | 27c | 500$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed PARIVISION | 40c | 453.84$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.36 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed PARIVISION | 45c | 445.76$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.17 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked PARIVISION | 45c | 440.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.61 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked PARIVISION | 49c | 421.8$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.12 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…8205backed Team Falcons | 20c | 391.43$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION | 48c | 374.31$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…156fbacked PARIVISION | 38c | 364.6$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.6 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5261…3ddbbacked PARIVISION | 49c | 363.27$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.27 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…0c3dbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 355.72$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…9e54backed Team Falcons | 60c | 334.83$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Falcons | 60c | 327.02$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.21 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ba…2e8abacked Team Falcons | 58c | 307.85$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4814…9a18backed Team Falcons | 53c | 305.15$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed PARIVISION | 39c | 273.1$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.65 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Falcons | 55c | 257.17$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.11 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked PARIVISION | 49c | 237.03$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed PARIVISION | 50c | 232$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefae…5cd1backed PARIVISION | 44c | 228.82$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.14 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed PARIVISION | 45c | 221.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.67 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed Team Falcons | 61c | 213.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Falcons | 47c | 212$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.51 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c0…23d8backed Team Falcons | 39c | 211.24$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 239 | 57.3%137 W · 102 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b4…e861backed Team Falcons | 10c | 203.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed PARIVISION | 42c | 200.06$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.08 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8d…9fb0backed Team Falcons | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…456bbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed PARIVISION | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Team Falcons | 27c | 199.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed PARIVISION | 51c | 199.43$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.32 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Team Falcons | 53c | 188.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Team Falcons | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f72…adc6backed PARIVISION | 39c | 183.52$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x106f…d28fbacked PARIVISION | 27c | 181.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.91 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Falcons | 49c | 175.47$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.98 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bef…be32backed PARIVISION | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.91 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8478…4355backed Team Falcons | 19c | 165.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc296…0fdcbacked Team Falcons | 44c | 163.6$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.56 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Team Falcons | 62c | 162.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed PARIVISION | 48c | 158.56$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.45 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Team Falcons | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 65.8%98 W · 51 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed PARIVISION | 42c | 143.88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.45 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f99…db70backed Team Falcons | 7c | 137.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Team Falcons | 54c | 128.64$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Falcons | 47c | 124.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9e97backed PARIVISION | 50c | 117.84$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b18…21a5backed Team Falcons | 53c | 113.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.07 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc76…3af1backed Team Falcons | 53c | 111.02$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.84 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Team Falcons | 58c | 111.01$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.31 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf597…efeebacked Team Falcons | 32c | 110$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…5922backed PARIVISION | 46c | 108.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.81 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc690…ec5bbacked PARIVISION | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked Team Falcons | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b8…1762backed PARIVISION | 48c | 104.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.13 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe6…5d3fbacked PARIVISION | 41c | 102.63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.1 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x022d…d8cebacked Team Falcons | 53c | 101.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked PARIVISION | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee3…4095backed Team Falcons | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.25 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Team Falcons | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…1d74backed Team Falcons | 54c | 96.02$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.81 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…706cbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 95.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.73 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2PARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)PARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.