Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8a6f9828f4f5731122b092922c26316215eedf2719dad251b66ef8473fe6904
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $429,751
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $440,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $429,751 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 441 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Falcons | 47c | 35,825$16,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,935.6 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed PARIVISION | 53c | 33,770$17,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,852.98 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed PARIVISION | 50c | 32,872$16,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,508.82 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed PARIVISION | 51c | 29,601$15,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,516.49 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed PARIVISION | 48c | 21,954$10,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,325.7 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Team Falcons | 49c | 20,408$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed PARIVISION | 52c | 20,291$10,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,699.46 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked PARIVISION | 51c | 19,121$9,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,369.11 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Team Falcons | 49c | 18,433$9,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,075.76 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Team Falcons | 48c | 12,414$5,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,958.93 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…9e54backed Team Falcons | 1c | 10,255$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Falcons | 51c | 10,032$5,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,110.87 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Team Falcons | 41c | 8,255$3,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,416.74 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Falcons | 48c | 8,000$3,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,809.97 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Team Falcons | 42c | 7,830$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked PARIVISION | 52c | 7,073$3,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,413.53 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed Team Falcons | 29c | 7,059$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Falcons | 51c | 6,603$3,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,347.02 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 17c | 6,306$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.8 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed Team Falcons | 33c | 6,091$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,018.56 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Team Falcons | 41c | 6,080$2,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,465.56 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…03bbbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 5,780$2,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,832 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Team Falcons | 50c | 5,651$2,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,845.11 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed PARIVISION | 50c | 5,555$2,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,777.5 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked PARIVISION | 54c | 5,523$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,521.76 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed PARIVISION | 50c | 5,358$2,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,678.85 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8478…4355backed Team Falcons | 1c | 5,159$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Team Falcons | 52c | 4,231$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 4,202$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,064.55 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Team Falcons | 3c | 4,200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Falcons | 13c | 4,161$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.94 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…f688backed PARIVISION | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.99 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Team Falcons | 59c | 3,927$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed PARIVISION | 51c | 3,920$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Team Falcons | 33c | 3,736$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +33%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Team Falcons | 50c | 3,264$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…0074backed Team Falcons | 47c | 3,200$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -7.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed PARIVISION | 50c | 3,181$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.1 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed PARIVISION | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed PARIVISION | 53c | 3,000$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.92 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0313…a2c7backed Team Falcons | 52c | 2,882$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked PARIVISION | 56c | 2,804$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.12 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Team Falcons | 49c | 2,800$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.06 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Team Falcons | 58c | 2,590$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 2,577$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.13 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed PARIVISION | 50c | 2,441$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.86 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed PARIVISION | 52c | 2,389$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.88 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Team Falcons | 48c | 2,330$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Team Falcons | 52c | 2,220$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.9 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Team Falcons | 47c | 2,064$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.12 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Team Falcons | 53c | 2,060$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.6 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca9…d946backed PARIVISION | 50c | 2,020$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8c…f872backed Team Falcons | 50c | 2,016$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.08 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…cfb4backed PARIVISION | 80c | 2,000$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 39cpaid | +114.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed Team Falcons | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6450…9547backed Team Falcons | 46c | 1,958$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.97 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Team Falcons | 49c | 1,825$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.51 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Falcons | 46c | 1,740$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.38 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons | 44c | 1,535$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.48 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed PARIVISION | 36c | 1,500$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.29 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Team Falcons | 27c | 1,457$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc740…522fbacked PARIVISION | 78c | 1,409$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Team Falcons | 27c | 1,405$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.23 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed PARIVISION | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…0c3dbacked Team Falcons | 44c | 1,343$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce61…8ef6backed Team Falcons | 25c | 1,300$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.5 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed PARIVISION | 54c | 1,296$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.3 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…14b3backed Team Falcons | 48c | 1,269$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.28 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf54…320abacked Team Falcons | 18c | 1,258$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed PARIVISION | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed PARIVISION | 48c | 1,197$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.41 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed PARIVISION | 55c | 1,196$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.8 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked PARIVISION | 59c | 1,191$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.87 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c6…4cf3backed Team Falcons | 27c | 1,114$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.78 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefae…5cd1backed PARIVISION | 50c | 1,093$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.02 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…ba9ebacked Team Falcons | 50c | 1,092$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.15 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Falcons | 26c | 1,091$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.5 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Team Falcons | 50c | 1,067$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.95 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Team Falcons | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.79 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0e…35f8backed PARIVISION | 51c | 1,003$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.61 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 1,003$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.41 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked PARIVISION | 72c | 972.58$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.32 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Team Falcons | 41c | 961.25$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab6c…88d9backed Team Falcons | 50c | 948.69$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Team Falcons | 57c | 939.72$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.87 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Falcons | 41c | 896.24$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.66 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Team Falcons | 47c | 865.96$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed PARIVISION | 76c | 861.17$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.17 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Team Falcons | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Team Falcons | 47c | 846.19$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.71 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed PARIVISION | 48c | 836.83$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.83 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Team Falcons | 48c | 835.42$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649d…ec03backed Team Falcons | 56c | 834.73$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6633…dcfebacked Team Falcons | 47c | 832$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.04 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Team Falcons | 47c | 820.38$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.58 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Team Falcons | 51c | 777.62$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…1d74backed Team Falcons | 29c | 753.88$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.75 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb0…cbc9backed Team Falcons | 57c | 753.12$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed PARIVISION | 53c | 733.57$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.92 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2this page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)PARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.