TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7fb0…cbc9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
28
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$104.03
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$94.94
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$40.87
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$468.07
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$155.42
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$253.27
LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$657Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+36.5%+$239.95
LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$945Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+40.8%+$385.59
LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$896Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+42.9%+$384.15
LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$643Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+26.6%+$171.04
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+46.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan Wolverines vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$159.99
Spread: Florida Gators (-7.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$521Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+108.3%+$564.43
Florida Gators vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+33.3%+$125.42
UCF Knights vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$945Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$945.42
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-17.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+110.1%+$520.43
All 5 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+65.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$425.66
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+44.2%+$198.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas A&M vs. Missouribacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+47.1%+$86.59
Florida Gators vs. Kentuckybacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$270.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$545Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$545.49
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$996Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$996.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+47.1%+$53.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$298.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.