CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d510210ed4bdb6f09cb92c68813f502700edb73f21416d66da59b36df7f6487
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof Astralis, FURIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,778
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,778 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed FURIA | 54c | 8,888$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.51 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Astralis | 53c | 6,118$3,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,869.17 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Astralis | 51c | 4,567$2,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.52 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ab…f441backed FURIA | 6c | 4,097$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.94 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…db39backed Astralis | 44c | 3,368$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,897.97 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7556…0f44backed FURIA | 13c | 3,024$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.98 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fd…30f0backed FURIA | 58c | 3,000$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.99 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Astralis | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.96 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53f0…fff4backed Astralis | 62c | 2,512$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.92 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Astralis | 65c | 2,502$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.38 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked FURIA | 34c | 2,470$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.77 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed FURIA | 56c | 2,466$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.71 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed FURIA | 7c | 2,323$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.92 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked FURIA | 27c | 2,313$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.79 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed FURIA | 30c | 2,280$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked FURIA | 34c | 2,139$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.63 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed FURIA | 57c | 1,910$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.49 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Astralis | 43c | 1,670$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.77 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Astralis | 77c | 1,513$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.05 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked FURIA | 26c | 1,513$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.9 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed FURIA | 5c | 1,500$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 161 | 49.1%79 W · 82 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Astralis | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Astralis | 46c | 1,457$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.78 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed Astralis | 43c | 1,395$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.35 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a8…bdc6backed FURIA | 59c | 1,126$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.51 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FURIA | 4c | 1,000$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.52 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed FURIA | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…60f6backed FURIA | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed FURIA | 4c | 999.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed FURIA | 60c | 833.42$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Astralis | 78c | 829.65$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.52 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Astralis | 66c | 817.82$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.24 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FURIA | 15c | 801.98$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.44 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed FURIA | 57c | 800$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 265 | 49.1%130 W · 135 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Astralis | 49c | 710.5$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.83 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Astralis | 68c | 708.18$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.17 | 258 | 46.1%119 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Astralis | 76c | 704.46$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.07 | 161 | 52.8%85 W · 76 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed FURIA | 43c | 662.22$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.35 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Astralis | 43c | 630$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.1 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Astralis | 46c | 589.98$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.9 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Astralis | 48c | 571.33$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.04 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Astralis | 79c | 553.24$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.77 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked FURIA | 24c | 553$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.4 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Astralis | 65c | 493.88$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.57 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaef0…4806backed FURIA | 42c | 486.25$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Astralis | 54c | 482.12$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.12 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked FURIA | 58c | 460$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.8 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef66…f839backed FURIA | 15c | 442.83$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0af…3b75backed FURIA | 42c | 430$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.6 | 183 | 42.1%77 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e5…3adcbacked FURIA | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Astralis | 44c | 401.55$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.87 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed FURIA | 10c | 400$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 294 | 65.3%192 W · 102 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…269bbacked Astralis | 48c | 399.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 420 | 50%210 W · 210 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4027…1afbbacked FURIA | 46c | 372.68$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.93 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc964…aca1backed Astralis | 44c | 370.36$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FURIA | 34c | 367.63$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.62 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked FURIA | 11c | 344.24$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Astralis | 69c | 330$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.27 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed FURIA | 25c | 301$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.09 | 210 | 55.7%117 W · 93 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Astralis | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 151 | 42.4%64 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked FURIA | 34c | 295.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Astralis | 41c | 283.41$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.21 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Astralis | 72c | 274.78$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Astralis | 66c | 261.89$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.96 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39e2…040dbacked FURIA | 59c | 256.1$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed FURIA | 24c | 254.51$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…d974backed FURIA | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | -18.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed FURIA | 59c | 252.26$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 214 | 60.3%129 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd972…c9f4backed FURIA | 21c | 235.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +11.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +34%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed FURIA | 52c | 234.71$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.05 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422b…093dbacked FURIA | 38c | 233.15$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a6…d091backed FURIA | 22c | 225.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Astralis | 72c | 220.53$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.83 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed FURIA | 24c | 216.21$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.73 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Astralis | 77c | 213.51$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.11 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked FURIA | 25c | 212.85$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.21 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…2af9backed FURIA | 39c | 200.2$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed FURIA | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Astralis | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed FURIA | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf6…0d60backed FURIA | 21c | 199.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a91…4e55backed FURIA | 35c | 188.9$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc51…dcdabacked FURIA | 56c | 185.18$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5802…c68bbacked FURIA | 56c | 185.18$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…7287backed FURIA | 58c | 180.19$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.51 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f7…7714backed FURIA | 58c | 172.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.25 | 190 | 48.9%93 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…768cbacked FURIA | 58c | 172.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.59 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9252…6069backed FURIA | 23c | 170.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf47d…2834backed FURIA | 24c | 170.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Astralis | 59c | 165$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.06 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked FURIA | 52c | 160$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b5…20f5backed FURIA | 21c | 150$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Astralis | 58c | 146.29$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7127…5bb5backed FURIA | 58c | 132.71$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.97 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed FURIA | 28c | 125.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…537cbacked Astralis | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 145 | 55.2%80 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Astralis | 61c | 103.27$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.16 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…a304backed FURIA | 59c | 101.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 122 | 73.8%90 W · 32 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6846…a82fbacked Astralis | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +13.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2Astralis won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)FURIA won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.