TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIAof Astralis, FURIA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$185,785

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,785 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd3b0…329ebacked FURIA66c17,355$11,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,890.7925655.5%142 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a46…ab25backed Astralis33c16,618$5,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,505.4211550.4%58 W · 57 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked Astralis39c12,300$4,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,785.0622550.7%114 W · 111 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Astralis32c9,354$2,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,992.439248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed FURIA61c5,398$3,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,106.199256.5%52 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed Astralis38c3,963$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,49814532.4%47 W · 98 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5978…aec4backed Astralis9c3,260$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022938%87 W · 142 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Astralis32c3,050$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.861228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Astralis33c3,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9997240.7%396 W · 576 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe9…c6dcbacked FURIA66c2,998$1,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.85660.7%34 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Astralis34c2,971$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.5647738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x417f…f97bbacked FURIA56c2,879$1,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.345133.3%17 W · 34 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked FURIA51c2,814$1,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,369.722927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39e2…040dbacked Astralis31c2,760$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.6810045%45 W · 55 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x389b…8d69backed Astralis37c2,699$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Astralis34c2,670$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.8924538.4%94 W · 151 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Astralis35c2,584$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.1815641%64 W · 92 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis19c2,448$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.162,09241.6%871 W · 1,221 L-50.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked FURIA63c2,400$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.8483652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Astralis20c2,391$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.362,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f49…463abacked FURIA63c2,282$1,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.4817945.3%81 W · 98 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed Astralis50c2,204$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.4321941.1%90 W · 129 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed FURIA63c2,149$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.0938552.7%203 W · 182 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed FURIA64c1,967$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.2664652.8%341 W · 305 L+26.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis27c1,908$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.891,61945.5%737 W · 882 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61fe…0956backed FURIA71c1,721$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.0410663.2%67 W · 39 L+10.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed Astralis32c1,685$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.7121455.6%119 W · 95 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed Astralis36c1,665$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60016947.9%81 W · 88 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9553…cfc7backed FURIA77c1,546$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.968458.3%49 W · 35 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed Astralis34c1,451$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.3934146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Astralis39c1,414$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.0341850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7556…0f44backed Astralis36c1,334$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.997851.3%40 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed FURIA62c1,126$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.9246349.9%231 W · 232 L-1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Astralis39c1,084$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.21,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Astralis42c1,017$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.241,06049%519 W · 541 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked FURIA64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3602552%13 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed Astralis36c999$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.6450043%215 W · 285 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Astralis38c833.91$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.197,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed FURIA63c814.99$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.5528453.5%152 W · 132 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Astralis11c772$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.161,65932.7%542 W · 1,117 L-49.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed FURIA55c728.45$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.4569253.6%371 W · 321 L-23.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Astralis11c727.27$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801,04645%471 W · 575 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8907…a996backed FURIA60c699.99$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-50.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed FURIA72c600$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16812446.8%58 W · 66 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked FURIA68c577.07$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.552,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0af…3b75backed Astralis34c502$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.6818342.1%77 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Astralis24c499.98$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11957422.5%129 W · 445 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed FURIA64c490.07$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.435841.4%24 W · 34 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Astralis43c468.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.1189546.8%419 W · 476 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f35…ed78backed Astralis37c460$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.23458.8%20 W · 14 L+6.1wins+0.18per pick41cpaid+54.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x3e43…f53cbacked FURIA62c460$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.81566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked FURIA64c458$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.7425950.6%131 W · 128 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaef0…4806backed FURIA62c448.46$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.561338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Astralis20c447.48$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.795,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x676f…43c1backed FURIA62c420$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.61625%4 W · 12 L-5.1wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-54.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x8c5a…acc3backed Astralis37c420$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.42634.6%9 W · 17 L-5.2wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-37.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xba68…39d7backed FURIA80c419.99$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.841457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed Astralis36c400$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14455232.4%179 W · 373 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Astralis38c386.91$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.2646749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed FURIA67c373.28$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.2869635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3741…517ebacked Astralis38c360$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.819741.6%82 W · 115 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef66…f839backed FURIA56c357.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.6913036.9%48 W · 82 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed FURIA73c340.17$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2521460.3%129 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd18d…768cbacked Astralis38c332.86$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.8711047.3%52 W · 58 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked FURIA65c307.85$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.8526345.2%119 W · 144 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed FURIA67c301.49$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.4919351.8%100 W · 93 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…2af9backed FURIA65c299.97$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9913556.3%76 W · 59 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed FURIA64c279.99$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.83151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…13e5backed Astralis36c278.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015142.4%64 W · 87 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x093c…2ef4backed Astralis20c275.31$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick21cpaid-70%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Astralis37c272.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017357.2%99 W · 74 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed Astralis37c255.55$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9538552.2%201 W · 184 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed FURIA60c238.41$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.296743.5%421 W · 546 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52fe…a72cbacked Astralis28c235.36$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd972…c9f4backed FURIA60c231.84$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.848959.6%53 W · 36 L+11.8wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+34%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe980…57c9backed FURIA66c228.01$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.523259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3187…9476backed FURIA66c228.01$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.271566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86c5…f088backed FURIA66c227.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc38d…850abacked FURIA66c226.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.125569.1%38 W · 17 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb87…4611backed FURIA66c218.18$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.1812357.7%71 W · 52 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Astralis22c207.14$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.281,26346.9%592 W · 671 L+18.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc51e…a146backed FURIA74c197.43$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.336764.2%43 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab1…9678backed Astralis22c185.59$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.839960.6%60 W · 39 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked Astralis35c184.66$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6546565.6%305 W · 160 L+0.5wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed FURIA55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8250340.2%202 W · 301 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed FURIA69c181.55$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9880744.6%360 W · 447 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Astralis39c180$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.481,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ee1…377abacked FURIA78c176.83$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9821354.5%116 W · 97 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed FURIA75c169.77$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7455343.2%239 W · 314 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked FURIA68c167.89$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.5744641.3%184 W · 262 L-28.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Astralis50c165.92$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8253746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fd9…3373backed FURIA67c164.59$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.596752.2%35 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cab…8228backed Astralis36c152.13$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.232035%7 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6c4…d354backed FURIA66c152$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.681369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa442…d722backed FURIA66c152$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.681866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Astralis26c150.27$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.34,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1807…3e37backed FURIA67c147.76$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd57f…8966backed Astralis34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507244.4%32 W · 40 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc26c…ffddbacked Astralis37c135.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.34047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4564…c051backed Astralis37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505236.5%19 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.