TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Astralisof Astralis, FURIA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,103,239

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,103,239 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 837 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Astralis34c63,550$21,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,123.8342440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed FURIA65c53,382$34,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,951.6321048.1%101 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f28…9291backed FURIA68c35,631$24,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,228.96944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked FURIA65c27,839$18,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,095.182055%11 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Astralis35c26,350$9,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,127.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked FURIA49c24,000$11,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,721.2714954.4%81 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed FURIA58c23,764$13,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,749.0322448.7%109 W · 115 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed FURIA65c20,000$13,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,999.9772453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7556…0f44backed FURIA28c19,631$5,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,509.477851.3%40 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Astralis72c18,866$13,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,331.8523355.4%129 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a46…ab25backed Astralis56c18,769$10,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,306.2711550.4%58 W · 57 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a24…4a1fbacked Astralis34c17,246$5,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,372.224452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa69d…509bbacked FURIA67c15,842$10,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,611.9219757.4%113 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed FURIA65c15,564$10,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,183.3212648.4%61 W · 65 L-10.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xceec…4ad9backed FURIA67c14,010$9,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,4552556%14 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed FURIA66c14,000$9,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,239.9835153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x562b…f85fbacked Astralis35c11,419$3,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,422.195855.2%32 W · 26 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Astralis35c11,000$3,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,149.959739.2%38 W · 59 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Astralis34c10,574$3,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,966.6937346.4%173 W · 200 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe949…77e2backed FURIA2c10,479$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked FURIA65c10,327$6,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,712.4183652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8310…8967backed FURIA42c10,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,199.986243.5%27 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Astralis34c10,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,649.891,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Astralis58c9,726$5,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,085.0621842.7%93 W · 125 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Astralis55c9,518$5,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,284.3439248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Astralis32c9,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,119.9936152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x098b…1fa5backed FURIA65c8,307$5,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,424.5812441.1%51 W · 73 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Astralis34c8,300$2,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,477.8996740.7%394 W · 573 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Astralis36c8,221$2,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,261.2319645.4%89 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked FURIA67c8,172$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,50022354.7%122 W · 101 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Astralis57c7,812$4,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,349.3197952.4%513 W · 466 L+26.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc94a…cfcabacked Astralis34c7,779$2,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,134.41757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed Astralis34c7,588$2,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,998.0917240.7%70 W · 102 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x059e…54d1backed Astralis47c7,423$3,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,932.855955.9%33 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Astralis53c7,409$3,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,452.4225555.3%141 W · 114 L+1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Astralis38c7,288$2,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,499.8535850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa090…9854backed FURIA69c7,279$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0007238.9%28 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Astralis32c6,478$2,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,405.223145.9%106 W · 125 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked FURIA25c6,466$1,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,629.722,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Astralis35c6,252$2,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,066.6515141.7%63 W · 88 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb00a…c58cbacked Astralis53c6,070$3,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,863.578444%37 W · 47 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Astralis34c6,000$2,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,962.6730340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2698…0958backed Astralis34c6,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9606553.8%35 W · 30 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6fd…30f0backed Astralis50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0008951.7%46 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed FURIA62c6,000$3,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7207940.5%32 W · 47 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x71dd…31ebbacked Astralis72c5,766$4,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,618.152075%15 W · 5 L+4.6wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+63.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Astralis59c5,671$3,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,328.727766.2%51 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Astralis36c5,468$1,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,507.331,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked FURIA68c5,382$3,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,659.7844657.2%255 W · 191 L-20.6wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-5.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed Astralis55c5,229$2,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,359.9129858.4%174 W · 124 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Astralis33c5,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,35046949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe64f…7d71backed Astralis33c5,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3503855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Astralis32c5,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,379.9975350.5%380 W · 373 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Astralis34c4,978$1,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,285.3320539.5%81 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33b8…7e29backed FURIA68c4,905$3,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,330450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked FURIA18c4,876$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.0732552.6%171 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Astralis52c4,556$2,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.519549.7%97 W · 98 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x417f…f97bbacked FURIA25c4,555$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.75133.3%17 W · 34 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed FURIA45c4,500$2,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,02557358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Astralis58c4,500$2,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8909540%38 W · 57 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Astralis34c4,375$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,887.555236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed FURIA49c4,261$2,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,108.2846843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Astralis44c4,081$1,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,285.915641%64 W · 92 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39dd…2cecbacked FURIA1c4,043$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-61.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ac…9170backed FURIA66c4,000$2,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,647.44728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick59cpaid-47.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked FURIA65c4,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60028538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked FURIA65c4,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.9814934.9%52 W · 97 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x641f…942bbacked Astralis33c3,929$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,632.7313756.2%77 W · 60 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xce8b…6bc7backed FURIA66c3,920$2,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,586.994158.5%24 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Astralis38c3,914$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,426.633043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Astralis57c3,530$1,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,534.191,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Astralis35c3,363$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,186.2629046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked Astralis34c3,333$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.694546.7%21 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+32.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd50c…76c3backed Astralis56c3,319$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.611361.1%69 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55af…0715backed FURIA68c3,268$2,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,222.471872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b4…19acbacked Astralis39c3,200$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,937.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+29.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed Astralis50c3,189$1,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,594.6516152.8%85 W · 76 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Astralis55c3,144$1,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,420.7964552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x959f…9e2fbacked FURIA66c3,136$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0709258.7%54 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed Astralis34c3,100$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,04722142.1%93 W · 128 L-13.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Astralis58c3,090$1,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300.2917357.2%99 W · 74 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf393…9b65backed Astralis32c3,000$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,05510946.8%51 W · 58 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Astralis36c3,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.9842142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6878…6cdbbacked Astralis35c2,997$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,937.52475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+62%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked FURIA67c2,985$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020458.3%119 W · 85 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Astralis38c2,893$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,793.7661228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed FURIA60c2,887$1,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,732.437946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed FURIA63c2,843$1,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,78112552.8%66 W · 59 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Astralis70c2,806$1,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.165,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf81e…c4b9backed FURIA66c2,762$1,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,835.37955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed FURIA44c2,733$1,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,202.56634.8%23 W · 43 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4027…1afbbacked Astralis37c2,726$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,725.591758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Astralis35c2,715$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,764.754163.4%26 W · 15 L+5.3wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+28.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe2a5…391cbacked FURIA42c2,640$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.810550.5%53 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86df…ba2ebacked FURIA1c2,620$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Astralis34c2,500$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,653.951,40833.7%475 W · 933 L+43.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed FURIA64c2,500$1,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,604.911,08050.9%550 W · 530 L+38.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed Astralis45c2,479$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.0436554.8%200 W · 165 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed FURIA53c2,402$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,273.0678639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed FURIA45c2,390$1,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.524846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.