CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a3db2d99b45327435b5c942ea4c961865ffb975d4445ccbaad6e3c60df27da3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,539 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 53c | 1,368$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.9 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 29c | 1,209$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.84 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 38c | 877.31$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.32 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Over | 46c | 560$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.4 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…7287backed Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf248…72bfbacked Over | 58c | 345.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.34 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9281…264dbacked Under | 56c | 332$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Under | 30c | 273.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.53 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33f4…bb15backed Under | 56c | 185$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60d…cdaabacked Over | 44c | 171$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 54c | 165.73$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.49 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Over | 63c | 159.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.92 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea4…cf0ebacked Over | 44c | 143$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…0da4backed Over | 60c | 139.05$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.01 | 339 | 60.8%206 W · 133 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Over | 50c | 119$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.03 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd08a…29b2backed Over | 44c | 108$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 288 | 56.6%163 W · 125 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c4…9983backed Over | 64c | 97.7$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc22…5738backed Over | 67c | 96.76$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf990…eba2backed Over | 44c | 95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +157%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 54c | 81.96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Under | 33c | 76.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…2d98backed Over | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Over | 51c | 74.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 161 | 52.8%85 W · 76 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…5f35backed Over | 63c | 70$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 51c | 68.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0762…30e7backed Under | 37c | 53.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 180 | 42.2%76 W · 104 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed Under | 49c | 52.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 51c | 48.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55cb…26b8backed Under | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 54cpaid | -81%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ad…1ab8backed Under | 54c | 47.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Under | 48c | 46.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over | 68c | 44.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…2d57backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Over | 46c | 41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…9d38backed Over | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Over | 72c | 34.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 70c | 27.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 48c | 26.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 55c | 26.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fd…30f0backed Over | 45c | 22.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc3…1e73backed Under | 55c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.24per pick | 56cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2Astralis won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA - Map 1 WinnerAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)FURIA won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.