TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe9ad…1ab8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
107
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L-4.3wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-40.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$30.06
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.32
Burnley FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9.74
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+150%+$19.08
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13.27
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$42.72
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+37%+$9.51
AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25.72
Everton FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$34.88
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$32.72
Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+51.5%+$11.19
Will Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$427.88
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$383.85
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$384.72
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$117.63
Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25.75
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13.97
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$284.28
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$32.79
Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$34.99
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+69.5%+$17.37
All 21 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.09
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.24
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.34
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$11.04
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.76
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$38.21
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$23.7
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$34.68
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$20.02
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$27.02
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$18.24
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.57
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$25.72
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+100%+$254.5
Olympique de Marseille vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+58.7%+$33.6
SK Slavia Praha vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+35.1%+$9.04
All 17 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Mandel Nallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.2
UFC Fight Night: Robert Valentin vs. Julien LeBlanc (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Julien LeBlanc · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.61
UFC Fight Night: JJ Aldrich vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Jamey-Lyn Horth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.28
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.82
UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims)backed Charles Radtke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$13.52
UFC Fight Night: Virna Jandiroba vs. Tabatha Ricci (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Virna Jandiroba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8.76
UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Mansur Abdul-Malik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.57
UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Tyrell Fortune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.49
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Movsar Evloev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$11.01
UFC Fight Night: Louie Sutherland vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Brando Pericic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$10.85
UFC Fight Night: SuYoung You vs. Elijah Smith (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed SuYoung You · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.43
UFC Fight Night: Brad Tavares vs. Eryk Anders (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Eryk Anders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$30.7
UFC Fight Night: Luan Lacerda vs. Hecher Sosa (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Hecher Sosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.78
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$19.26
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Caio Borralho · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+44.9%+$5.96
UFC 326: Cody Garbrandt vs. Xiao Long (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Xiao Long · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13.27
UFC 326: Cody Durden vs. Nyamjargal Tumendemberel (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Nyamjargal Tumendemberel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+46.2%+$16.3
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.32
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+82.9%+$30.53
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$72.61
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+43.9%+$163.29
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+81.8%+$115.65
Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+47.1%+$22.72
Knicks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25.05
Nuggets vs. Pistonsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$63.92
76ers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$62.23
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+42.9%+$129.9
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$57.21
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+92.3%+$48.66
Nuggets vs. Wizards: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$27.32
All 13 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: AVULUS vs Inner Circle (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stagebacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GamerLegion (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$80.3
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$60.84
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15.39
Dota 2: OG vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+161%+$28.71
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+156.4%+$76.03
Dota 2: MOUZ vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$172.64
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+127.3%+$87.36
All 8 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-37.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+25.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs FaZe (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.45
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.72
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.