TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-12.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$563,044
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$564,259

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $563,044 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Jazz48c198,765$96,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96,011.412,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Jazz50c183,492$91,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91,745.891,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Spurs50c174,957$86,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88,031.1987451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ae…3020backed Spurs50c113,452$56,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,7262951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Spurs53c81,450$42,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,598.21,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Spurs53c44,404$23,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,869.7838253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Jazz49c37,514$18,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,204.8840446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9723…77d8backed Spurs53c20,000$10,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,4001764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jazz50c19,980$9,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,9905,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Spurs50c15,176$7,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,646.281,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Jazz49c13,690$6,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,755.143,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Spurs52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80019754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Spurs51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,90025753.7%138 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Spurs53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,699.9945348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Jazz48c8,300$4,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,024.9935747.1%168 W · 189 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jazz51c8,000$4,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,059.991,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5227…f9bdbacked Spurs52c7,692$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,692.3110252.9%54 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Jazz48c6,263$3,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,021.6448845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Jazz52c6,225$3,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,23720744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs31c4,305$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,965.128,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Jazz50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00032051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Jazz49c3,975$1,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,966.2819350.3%97 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Jazz48c3,567$1,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,729.822,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs47c3,079$1,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,645.574,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Spurs52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44048054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Spurs53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,41040947.7%195 W · 214 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Spurs53c2,926$1,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375.326755.8%149 W · 118 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Spurs52c2,269$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.1147856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Jazz52c2,065$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.885147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Jazz49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8758…01e0backed Spurs50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0003348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Jazz48c1,988$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.7553043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Jazz47c1,866$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87718343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31f6…442abacked Jazz54c1,854$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Jazz48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72045647.1%215 W · 241 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Spurs48c1,338$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.92,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Spurs17c1,000$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83049938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Jazz41c981.3$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.2526839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Jazz48c844$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.1234654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe098…8ee2backed Spurs48c800$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41620754.1%112 W · 95 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Spurs51c799.93$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.9667252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2997…6c34backed Spurs80c704.41$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.251586.7%13 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick68cpaid+20.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Jazz47c702.13$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33014346.2%66 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e91…3e2abacked Jazz49c632.15$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.665339.6%21 W · 32 L-6.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-24.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Jazz52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006943.5%30 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Jazz52c541$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.321,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Spurs48c525$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27330351.8%157 W · 146 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Jazz49c510.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25026640.2%107 W · 159 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed Jazz49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24515336.6%56 W · 97 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Spurs51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2452,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed Jazz47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2355450%27 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Jazz49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Jazz52c399.99$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20810541%43 W · 62 L-11.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-23.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Spurs52c382.95$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.0447349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe544…3cfcbacked Spurs48c319.73$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.2610251%52 W · 50 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Spurs51c316.89$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.111,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…fde1backed Jazz49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504148.8%20 W · 21 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Jazz40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12066645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Spurs49c293.96$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.9262744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Jazz54c275.93$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14915034.7%52 W · 98 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Jazz47c257.8$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.1658449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1022…cfeebacked Spurs52c248.35$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.211136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick60cpaid-45.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Jazz51c233.75$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2192753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71fe…461ebacked Jazz48c227.05$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1091827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-45.3%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Jazz49c208.33$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.0892750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Spurs53c207.55$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.551,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Spurs49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0856154.5%306 W · 255 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa48b…1334backed Spurs35c199.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.9917031.8%54 W · 116 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Spurs51c199.96$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9861747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a26…1b7dbacked Spurs52c197.6$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.853751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f49…7458backed Spurs52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.312646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Jazz53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10066153.3%352 W · 309 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81e0…df45backed Spurs52c180.38$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.58650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Jazz51c170.92$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1765750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Jazz65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e57…2bf6backed Jazz48c144.63$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4212549.6%62 W · 63 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Spurs21c142.81$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.5332346.4%150 W · 173 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Spurs10c132.25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.0252052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Jazz49c109.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.982440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe023…4591backed Jazz72c109.14$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.64475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9ba4…9ee8backed Jazz77c103.49$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.69366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ad…1ab8backed Spurs52c101.37$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.661346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Spurs51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4995548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe62e…d3e2backed Jazz49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4910644.3%47 W · 59 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b58…7061backed Spurs52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Jazz49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4942143.7%184 W · 237 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Jazz49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495848.3%28 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Spurs14c100$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8663427.3%173 W · 461 L-19.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Jazz49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4915849.4%78 W · 80 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefc8…9b84backed Jazz77c100$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-48.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d15…2d65backed Jazz80c99.63$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.71747.1%8 W · 9 L-4.4wins-0.26per pick73cpaid-35.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x59bc…73ccbacked Jazz80c99.63$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46b4…57ffbacked Spurs49c97.84$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.511060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef05…4d9fbacked Spurs52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.152250%11 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa8d6…f9eabacked Jazz53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Spurs44c87.64$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.893,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed Spurs52c83.66$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8915348.4%74 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Jazz48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011940.3%48 W · 71 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz49c83.25$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.769,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Spurs49c79.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.831947.6%152 W · 167 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.