TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 236.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$842,453
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$843,229

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $842,453 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over52c596,243$309,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309,611.9587451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under48c468,585$224,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243,664.092,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Over53c49,845$26,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,417.7217250.6%87 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under49c45,000$21,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,1502,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c26,416$12,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,794.979,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over52c21,536$11,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,155.6838253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Over53c20,680$11,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,060.520055%110 W · 90 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x742a…a38fbacked Under48c19,613$9,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,269.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b49…d0dfbacked Over53c18,628$9,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,872.856650%33 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x207b…ef6fbacked Under47c14,809$6,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,848.51540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Under47c11,111$5,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,888.8324554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Under47c10,595$4,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,615.3559646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Under46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,4006152.5%32 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb48f…d015backed Under48c8,933$4,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,645.3312454.8%68 W · 56 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7973…34d4backed Under47c8,511$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,510.645437%20 W · 34 L-6.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Under48c7,960$3,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,139.4226949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under50c7,651$3,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,851.262,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Under48c6,767$3,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,518.8413239.4%52 W · 80 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over53c6,578$3,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,454.8758449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under48c6,492$3,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,375.833,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5157…e842backed Under47c6,383$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,382.981060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Under48c6,354$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,304.1738750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Under47c6,000$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,18048347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Under45c5,616$2,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,088.5617344.5%77 W · 96 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under26c5,462$1,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,046.948,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Under47c5,458$2,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,892.5242648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under48c5,208$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,708.3341649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Under48c5,031$2,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,630.0912151.2%62 W · 59 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,60032051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under48c4,598$2,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,376.236,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over52c4,511$2,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,345.751,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Under49c4,100$2,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,09135747.1%168 W · 189 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Under50c4,061$2,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,030.6722643.8%99 W · 127 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under47c3,910$1,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,068.2948546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Under47c3,824$1,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,007.5824450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Under48c3,750$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,95033447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under48c3,299$1,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,728.262,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Under47c3,191$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.4915141.1%62 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over52c2,885$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Under47c2,818$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,488.518343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Under48c2,733$1,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,420.9540350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd49a…9aa4backed Under48c2,611$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,357.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Under47c2,471$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,309.7792753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under47c2,397$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.4695651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.331,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Over6c2,082$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9239018.2%71 W · 319 L+27.6wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed Under47c2,020$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.69742.3%41 W · 56 L-10.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under48c1,775$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9231,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under43c1,701$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.5637944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Over1c1,111$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1135326.6%94 W · 259 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under48c1,100$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5721,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Under49c1,094$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.3918651.6%96 W · 90 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50033150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd622…8b56backed Under47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5308339.8%33 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under30c967.86$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.9126839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2953…5344backed Under48c952.99$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.552568%17 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked Over54c932.5$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.38961.8%55 W · 34 L+8.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under8c917.47$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.921,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b8d…854cbacked Over53c911.66$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.183354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Under48c864.18$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.3751146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under45c852$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.62,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under49c816.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.3367252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Over3c798.75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.971587%11 W · 147 L+0.7wins0.00per pick7cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Over57c701.75$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed Over52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30042845.1%193 W · 235 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over46c557.65$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.74,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fd1…babcbacked Under3c547.03$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+1,705.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under47c525$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.2571547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Under49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25532846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab6d…b458backed Under14c499.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.9911926.1%31 W · 88 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under5c458.55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.637755.2%208 W · 169 L+23.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Over53c456.17$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.7727943%120 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7f7…4a54backed Under47c451.85$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Under48c419.07$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.9215649.4%77 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40da…0b85backed Under48c414.59$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.598232.9%27 W · 55 L-15.2wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39.8%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Under48c399.96$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.9832347.1%152 W · 171 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under48c393.76$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.482,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under32c372.13$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.073,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e57…2bf6backed Under48c365.67$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.4112549.6%62 W · 63 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under5c364.16$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.932,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Under47c361.7$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.711940.3%48 W · 71 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2694…415abacked Over54c347.55$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.042240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick33cpaid-16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a55…fd0dbacked Under49c336.73$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.735742.1%24 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa785…acb6backed Over73c327.56$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.6632455.9%181 W · 143 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Over53c327$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.3120651%105 W · 101 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under42c315.82$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.573,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1591,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Under48c291.77$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.7217953.1%95 W · 84 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under48c285.24$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.421,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeed8…996dbacked Under44c272.51$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.516838.2%26 W · 42 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Under48c264.95$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.7750241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x131e…3343backed Under49c244.9$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.91942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under43c227.7$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.73,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda12…38d6backed Over54c223.25$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.132347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over52c222.4$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.652,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8d6…f9eabacked Under45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.222951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Under8c217.03$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.2617554.9%96 W · 79 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+31.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c10…829bbacked Over52c209$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.6810270.6%72 W · 30 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3347349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.