TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-13.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$134,886
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$137,403

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,886 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Jazz53c35,149$18,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,623.122,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5227…f9bdbacked Spurs48c26,458$12,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,758.3310252.9%54 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Spurs46c17,299$7,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,341.5687451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Jazz53c11,811$6,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,243.092,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Spurs48c10,454$5,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,436.231,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4918…8573backed Spurs48c8,276$3,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,303.521145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Jazz52c6,767$3,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,518.8313239.4%52 W · 80 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Jazz52c5,847$3,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,040.5746145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Spurs49c5,102$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,602.0476746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs47c5,023$2,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,649.884,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Spurs47c4,636$2,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,456.843,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4958…a146backed Jazz52c4,069$2,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,115.881323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-53.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Jazz51c3,824$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,950.3948845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x197b…a6b0backed Jazz52c3,632$1,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,888.641361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d97…3795backed Jazz53c3,234$1,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,714.0230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbce…57e6backed Jazz53c3,232$1,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,712.9640%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7080…0867backed Spurs47c3,156$1,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,672.68475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b49…d0dfbacked Jazz54c3,075$1,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,660.566650%33 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Jazz52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Spurs48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.9940947.7%195 W · 214 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd936…361cbacked Spurs47c2,963$1,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,570.39475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8089…e57bbacked Spurs47c2,535$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,343.55475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+49.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9c3…bd10backed Jazz53c2,432$1,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,288.9640%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xff53…785cbacked Spurs47c1,963$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.39475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+49.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Jazz60c1,722$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.9883039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6203…2099backed Jazz53c1,719$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.0740%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Spurs44c1,317$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.522,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f72…0841backed Spurs45c1,280$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70410255.9%57 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b8d…854cbacked Spurs49c1,227$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.023354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed Spurs53c1,221$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.9211048.2%53 W · 57 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Spurs48c978$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.561,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc6e…4131backed Spurs47c755$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Spurs48c743.12$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.652,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Jazz54c702$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.7719350.3%97 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x882c…a26fbacked Spurs19c688.46$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.273450%17 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed Jazz52c655.67$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.1315348.4%74 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs48c619.33$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.644,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jazz50c603.57$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.768,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Jazz52c578$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.5640648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1375…a070backed Jazz52c575$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2991618.8%3 W · 13 L-5.0wins-0.31per pick50cpaid-61.9%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed Jazz54c556.99$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30042845.1%193 W · 235 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Jazz44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22062948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Spurs56c429.25$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.673,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Jazz52c385$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.512,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Jazz54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde46…a7afbacked Jazz52c317.31$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1655054%27 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…a569backed Jazz53c301.38$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16023847.1%112 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe544…3cfcbacked Spurs49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15310251%52 W · 50 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Spurs48c276.75$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.493,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2135…16debacked Jazz53c275$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6919…3047backed Jazz53c260$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Jazz53c255.76$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.4553043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa785…acb6backed Jazz38c245.95$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2932455.9%181 W · 143 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Jazz53c235.85$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12518852.7%99 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc825…3e74backed Jazz53c220$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c06…84a9backed Jazz52c195.52$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.67666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Jazz56c195$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.22,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Spurs45c182$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.11,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Jazz55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10061056.1%342 W · 268 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e91…3e2abacked Jazz53c176.19$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.735339.6%21 W · 32 L-6.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-24.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf7d7…963bbacked Jazz53c166.62$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Spurs48c155.33$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7738253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Jazz44c152.04$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.951,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Jazz54c148.15$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8081845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Spurs45c143.98$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.191,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Spurs46c127.67$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.681,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec7d…fa1fbacked Jazz76c114.17$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Jazz53c113.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6024250.8%123 W · 119 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Jazz56c112.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1292750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz53c100.9$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.29,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Spurs45c98.42$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.132,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed Jazz53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508263.4%52 W · 30 L-0.3wins0.00per pick64cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Jazz76c92.79$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6631144.4%138 W · 173 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Jazz54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032347.1%152 W · 171 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Spurs48c84.21$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.792,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a2f…6645backed Jazz73c80$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.150%0 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Spurs46c73.24$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.273,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Jazz56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4072250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Jazz53c70.75$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.549852.4%261 W · 237 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked Jazz53c70$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.111650.9%59 W · 57 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b1c…c864backed Spurs52c69.45$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.241118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-66%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Spurs48c64$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.282,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Jazz54c62.96$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3450648%243 W · 263 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1db9…a43bbacked Jazz52c61.67$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.951741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x392c…0bb4backed Jazz53c60.11$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3211637.9%44 W · 72 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Jazz54c59.66$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.211,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Jazz56c59.32$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2224363.8%155 W · 88 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…6fbabacked Jazz54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307936.7%29 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Jazz52c55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.616053.1%85 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f10…ef9abacked Jazz53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.57935.4%28 W · 51 L-10.1wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-30%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Jazz54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2738252.4%200 W · 182 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Spurs27c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.532346.4%150 W · 173 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Spurs46c49.98$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9966143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0435…cf1dbacked Jazz54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516947.3%80 W · 89 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcde1…1e0cbacked Jazz54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252222.7%5 W · 17 L-5.5wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-48.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xea20…18fabacked Jazz54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x70b2…1950backed Jazz66c45.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308357.8%48 W · 35 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Spurs47c43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7971245.8%326 W · 386 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36f4…1db1backed Spurs48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.672060%12 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bb6…3642backed Jazz54c38.89$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.