TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Jazz

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,144,596
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,112,076

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,144,596 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 533 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x07b8…8e25backed Jazz17c152,200$25,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,410.1323257.8%134 W · 98 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Jazz25c125,270$31,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,120.1516848.2%81 W · 87 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Jazz16c103,203$16,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,512.4651844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Jazz17c91,010$15,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,381.4919150.8%97 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Jazz15c66,021$10,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,153.1335235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Jazz15c60,844$9,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,202.7327424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Jazz21c59,866$12,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,578.5648845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2db…aa08backed Jazz24c40,000$9,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,6001442.9%6 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs76c39,454$30,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,334.088,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Jazz15c39,065$5,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,668.0947028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Jazz21c30,000$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,30022457.1%128 W · 96 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b0d…9828backed Jazz15c25,604$3,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,840.655238.5%20 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Jazz0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Spurs75c24,129$18,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,023.82,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Jazz15c23,755$3,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,565.9548352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Jazz18c18,954$3,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,369.8250838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x19a0…ac39backed Spurs77c17,294$13,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,996.0614751%75 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked Jazz16c15,625$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50015435.7%55 W · 99 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21d4…84bdbacked Jazz16c15,578$2,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,492.497850%39 W · 39 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x832d…d420backed Jazz16c14,000$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2406540%26 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03a9…37babacked Jazz16c13,948$2,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.3510547.6%50 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Jazz19c13,230$2,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50919136.1%69 W · 122 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Jazz16c12,870$2,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,059.2228742.9%123 W · 164 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz15c12,448$1,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,867.211,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Jazz19c11,663$2,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,161.811,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Jazz15c10,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50046145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz18c9,713$1,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,771.64,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Jazz9c8,970$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.350241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Jazz16c8,750$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40048938.7%189 W · 300 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Jazz17c8,723$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.692,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs73c8,231$6,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,222.421,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Jazz30c7,950$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4009938.4%38 W · 61 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Spurs76c7,448$5,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,787.510952.3%57 W · 52 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Jazz18c7,421$1,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.8661939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Jazz28c7,249$2,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,021.3314533.1%48 W · 97 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c42…da3cbacked Jazz15c7,100$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.9914055.7%78 W · 62 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8758…add7backed Jazz15c7,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0501233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Jazz24c6,999$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.7615247.4%72 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Jazz15c6,997$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.3624831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Jazz17c6,780$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.624045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Spurs77c6,577$5,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,524.251,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Jazz17c6,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02032039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Jazz15c6,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90047535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcad4…c108backed Jazz16c5,685$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.616651.5%34 W · 32 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb900…fe44backed Jazz15c5,400$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7861361.5%8 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick38cpaid+63.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5f82…9b01backed Jazz17c5,388$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.5516635.5%59 W · 107 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x62d6…479dbacked Jazz25c5,385$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.7540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick24cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Spurs70c5,222$3,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,566.66357.1%36 W · 27 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Jazz16c5,001$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.152,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Jazz17c5,000$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8501,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Jazz18c4,652$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.42,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Jazz15c4,377$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.6349142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x996b…796bbacked Jazz16c4,200$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+41.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa98…b8f7backed Jazz17c4,049$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.92653.8%14 W · 12 L+5.7wins+0.22per pick32cpaid+54.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Jazz15c4,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60046632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed Jazz20c3,929$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80015336.6%56 W · 97 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Jazz15c3,853$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57819560%117 W · 78 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdda6…925abacked Jazz8c3,684$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.77135.2%25 W · 46 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd28…2aefbacked Jazz11c3,606$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.4231430.3%95 W · 219 L-1.4wins0.00per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc614…9d44backed Jazz16c3,600$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+41.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf3…eb8ebacked Jazz9c3,534$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.484723.4%11 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Jazz20c3,500$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70042640.4%172 W · 254 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bab…cf38backed Jazz23c3,438$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.879859.2%58 W · 40 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Jazz15c3,400$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.9961835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10fb…c66cbacked Jazz16c3,125$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.989747.4%46 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec9a…ad34backed Jazz33c3,043$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006432.8%21 W · 43 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6efe…c249backed Jazz15c3,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick37cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe12a…67efbacked Jazz16c2,980$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.7315841.1%65 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Spurs80c2,941$2,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.2352460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b31…11a8backed Jazz18c2,778$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeea6…135fbacked Jazz15c2,522$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.8345838%174 W · 284 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jazz15c2,514$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.842,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc64e…fd52backed Jazz11c2,500$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.945837.9%22 W · 36 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Jazz17c2,500$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae17…b10dbacked Jazz24c2,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Jazz8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20035326.6%94 W · 259 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed Jazz19c2,490$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.5215348.4%74 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0407…1034backed Jazz21c2,319$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.271050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Jazz15c2,200$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33086641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72bc…c332backed Jazz15c2,180$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33418332.2%59 W · 124 L+0.9wins0.00per pick32cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Jazz23c2,174$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50022035.5%78 W · 142 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Jazz6c2,111$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13067911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Jazz13c2,029$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.4116130.4%49 W · 112 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7345…50c2backed Jazz14c2,022$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.173951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd637…be9abacked Spurs78c2,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44016052.5%84 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed Jazz10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038649.5%191 W · 195 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59cf…71dabacked Jazz9c2,000$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1856227.4%17 W · 45 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Jazz4c1,986$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.442,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83c7…4078backed Jazz17c1,865$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.29837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb101…5024backed Jazz14c1,830$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2561421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick37cpaid-49.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Jazz21c1,765$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.4926839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa408…d831backed Jazz14c1,757$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.7714647.9%70 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89da…a6c2backed Jazz4c1,749$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.541034.9%5 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-39.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x188a…de60backed Jazz21c1,659$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.463852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Jazz10c1,643$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.1733428.1%94 W · 240 L-20.3wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-44.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Jazz10c1,643$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16081845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cce…7d12backed Jazz17c1,636$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.181145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick30cpaid+41.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Jazz16c1,619$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2608530.6%26 W · 59 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Jazz16c1,605$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.891,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Jazz15c1,600$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24065939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.