TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,168
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,284

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,168 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6e82…752cbacked Under53c21,409$11,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,086.421,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over47c11,197$5,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,263.132,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under54c11,041$5,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,080.1834654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over47c6,553$3,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,082.343,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over46c5,184$2,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,410.159,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under54c3,887$2,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,783.146,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over47c3,395$1,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,586.484,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b49…d0dfbacked Over47c2,220$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.226650%33 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over47c2,040$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.872,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over46c1,936$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.5658347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under45c1,777$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.9683039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over50c1,483$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.313,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over46c1,437$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.455,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under54c1,365$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.781,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over52c1,155$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.62,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed Over47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47011137.8%42 W · 69 L-14.2wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xe44c…32a5backed Over45c982$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.94353.5%23 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under53c924.17$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.162,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over48c636.96$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.928,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Under52c615.83$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.1721642.1%91 W · 125 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Over49c611.12$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.6429344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under53c550$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.52,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Over15c533.2$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9839018.2%71 W · 319 L+27.6wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd637…be9abacked Under20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40016052.5%84 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c64…348fbacked Over2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10234.3%1 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+117.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20031249.4%154 W · 158 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under54c387.33$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.1780653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Over46c381.8$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.6362541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over42c349.1$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.5626839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over45c300.27$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.121,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1412,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Over45c277.78$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12518852.7%99 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Over5c250$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51587%11 W · 147 L+0.7wins0.00per pick7cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba3a…b49abacked Over60c245$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1473850%19 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over46c227$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.422,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Over48c223$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.0419350.3%97 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c6c…ce09backed Under45c222.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.8912865.6%84 W · 44 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017035.9%61 W · 109 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Under18c206$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.7832346.4%150 W · 173 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under70c196.2$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.581,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under73c195.51$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.522,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017353.2%92 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab9f…570cbacked Under54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1913240.2%53 W · 79 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x83ae…e7b8backed Under56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.57250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under38c177.4$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.863,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Under50c173$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.513239.4%52 W · 80 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over52c172$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.442,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d29…6da9backed Under63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7314255.6%79 W · 63 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under52c157.52$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.261,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under56c150$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6641052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8eca…6882backed Under49c144.9$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.915936.5%58 W · 101 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over38c141.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.93,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbe7…6ab1backed Under56c128.23$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.33580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over52c121.98$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.353759.5%22 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over46c111.61$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3492750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e91…3e2abacked Over47c111.61$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.465339.6%21 W · 32 L-6.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-24.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x64f1…fc6ebacked Under41c107.58$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.24052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over52c106.62$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.631,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3323…c289backed Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-39.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4847043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Under64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3662347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c36…36a0backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.568940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1a9a…d45cbacked Over46c99.39$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Under51c94.12$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1221352.1%111 W · 102 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x591a…aec2backed Under54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.599452.1%49 W · 45 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Over47c89.29$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9753043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf91f…5aa5backed Over45c88.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00e6…cbccbacked Over62c87.49$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8120%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under55c81.82$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.821,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407040%28 W · 42 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under48c78.75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9553149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Over71c76$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7717243%74 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Over47c75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2516549.7%82 W · 83 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc36a…ad01backed Under55c73.39$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.39450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under55c73.39$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.032,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over45c71$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.952,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over48c68.05$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.661,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98ce…cfffbacked Over47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.23243.8%14 W · 18 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-24.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x437b…0ba4backed Under51c57.23$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0416547.3%78 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under56c51.79$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7942551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under56c51.79$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7941354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1965…2c2dbacked Under20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402025%5 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick30cpaid+4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2649351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Over44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8643246.1%199 W · 233 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under53c48$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.532,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under54c43$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.781,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over46c42.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5311443%49 W · 65 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2017747.5%84 W · 93 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63d6…3273backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee53…7d97backed Under56c35.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.823158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7cf…058dbacked Over47c35.09$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.442548%12 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over44c34.91$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.522,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6271…4ac6backed Under53c33.51$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.752661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+36%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over46c33.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3740146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under50c30.07$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.163,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e21…c6f4backed Over46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.813265.2%86 W · 46 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Over69c29.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.168256.1%46 W · 36 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.