TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf91f…5aa5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT3447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Bucks (-1.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$93
Rockets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+117.4%+$11.74
Spread: Clippers (-9.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Heat vs. Sunsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+143.9%+$28.78
Spread: Suns (-3.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pelicans vs. Spurs: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+108.3%+$43.33
Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$26.6
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Spread: Pistons (-13.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Lakers vs. Mavericks: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Bulls: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+65.8%+$19.73
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+102.3%+$35.82
Celtics vs. Bullsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Raptors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+194.1%+$38.82
Pacers vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15.61
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST2454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+104.1%+$52.04
Kings vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Avalanche vs. Senatorsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Predators vs. Bruinsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Sabres vs. Maple Leafsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+104.1%+$10.41
Islanders vs. Flyersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Panthers vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$19.99
Golden Knights vs. Senatorsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Panthers vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Canadiens vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+93.3%+$37.3
Red Wings vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Kings vs. Bluesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+80.1%+$44.03
Sabres vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Ducks vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Rangers vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+80.7%+$24.22
Flyers vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Blues vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+66.7%+$16.67
Lightning vs. Blackhawksbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Red Wings vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+72.4%+$21.72
Penguins vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Panthers vs. Jetsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Golden Knights vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+122.2%+$18.33
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 24 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Watford FC win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+64.9%+$19.21
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+33.4%+$10.01
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+46.4%+$52.51
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$610
Will Manchester United FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$488
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PAOK win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+27.9%+$22.3
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+62.2%+$43.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+42.9%+$21.43
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+33%+$16.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: The Bandits vs ZennIT (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffsbacked The Bandits · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+58.7%+$25.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+39.5%+$11.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$645Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$645.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.