NBA · resolved market
Spread: Suns (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeaa9e3040286464385d3e28142335c1e4faa481ebb5428d1eaa389f32def024c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Suns, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $153,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Heat | 49c | 30,778$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,777.92 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Suns | 58c | 27,586$15,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,933.36 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Suns | 51c | 17,846$9,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,122.57 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Suns | 56c | 11,439$6,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,405.95 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4d…619abacked Heat | 48c | 9,797$4,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,104.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Heat | 46c | 8,895$4,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,835.97 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Suns | 52c | 6,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.98 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8a…e842backed Suns | 54c | 4,881$2,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,633.76 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Heat | 44c | 3,453$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930.28 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Suns | 54c | 2,977$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.87 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Suns | 52c | 2,891$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.12 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Heat | 46c | 2,858$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.35 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Suns | 53c | 2,529$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.37 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Heat | 44c | 2,253$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.48 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Heat | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Suns | 54c | 2,091$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.12 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Suns | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.11 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…bd7dbacked Suns | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heat | 43c | 1,621$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.64 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Heat | 57c | 1,545$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.5 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Heat | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.6 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Heat | 45c | 1,148$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.07 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Suns | 53c | 1,129$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.37 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Heat | 47c | 1,104$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.14 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…a7f3backed Heat | 49c | 1,060$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8c…e9b8backed Heat | 49c | 866$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Heat | 48c | 859.7$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.04 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Suns | 55c | 836.36$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7119backed Heat | 49c | 822$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Suns | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x902e…5f41backed Suns | 55c | 721.24$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Heat | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Suns | 60c | 496.7$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Heat | 48c | 478.22$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.97 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Suns | 53c | 419.99$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.5 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Heat | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d8…d527backed Suns | 51c | 380.17$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.49 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf739…699ebacked Suns | 51c | 380$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…6299backed Suns | 51c | 367$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Suns | 51c | 355.65$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.38 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc773…1284backed Suns | 51c | 350$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…bce2backed Suns | 51c | 330$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…5548backed Suns | 51c | 323$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Suns | 52c | 317.31$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Heat | 41c | 300.84$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.5 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…cc29backed Heat | 49c | 279.98$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.79 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Suns | 53c | 266.22$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.1 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fc…7547backed Suns | 51c | 255$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…47dbbacked Suns | 51c | 255$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Heat | 42c | 250$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f1…6109backed Suns | 53c | 245.28$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x808c…a35ebacked Suns | 51c | 244$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0e…bab7backed Suns | 51c | 244$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Heat | 46c | 215.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.21 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Heat | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Heat | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Heat | 43c | 199.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.99 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Suns | 43c | 197.31$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.84 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Suns | 54c | 191.02$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.94 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Heat | 42c | 159.43$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Suns | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Heat | 44c | 138.06$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.71 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Heat | 43c | 134.35$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.97 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Heat | 45c | 131.86$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.52 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Heat | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 183 | 39.3%72 W · 111 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7923…d78abacked Heat | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Heat | 46c | 95.65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Suns | 57c | 89.23$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.86 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Suns | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Heat | 47c | 84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…1db1backed Heat | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x743a…ddcdbacked Heat | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Heat | 46c | 77.43$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Suns | 52c | 63.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Suns | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Suns | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 219 | 48.9%107 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Heat | 46c | 43.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf91f…5aa5backed Heat | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Suns | 54c | 37.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbb…c0d4backed Suns | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…13ccbacked Heat | 45c | 33.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Suns | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d19…e2fdbacked Suns | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Heat | 46c | 28.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +9.2wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Suns | 51c | 27.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Suns | 54c | 26.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Heat | 47c | 25.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Suns | 54c | 25.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Suns | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada4…1bfabacked Heat | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Suns | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Suns | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Heat | 46c | 21.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x862d…2632backed Heat | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee3…bf37backed Suns | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Suns (-3.5)this page
- Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Heat vs. SunsHeat won
- Heat vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Heat vs. Suns: O/U 224.5Under won
- Heat vs. Suns: O/U 225.5Under won
- Heat vs. Suns: O/U 226.5Under won
- Heat vs. Suns: O/U 227.5Under won
- Heat vs. Suns: O/U 228.5Under won
- Heat vs. Suns: O/U 229.5Under won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Norman Powell: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Norman Powell: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Suns (-2.5)Heat won
- Spread: Suns (-4.5)Heat won
- Spread: Suns (-5.5)Heat won
- Spread: Suns (-6.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.