NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Suns
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc71b8b2579a7b51d49cfda84312ae613ab5fca893659a0cc5d83116cdc689b35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Heat, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,668,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,723,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,668,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,460 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Heat | 40c | 379,439$151,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227,990.06 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Suns | 60c | 275,000$165,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165,000 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Heat | 38c | 221,929$85,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136,624.78 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4d…619abacked Heat | 40c | 99,127$39,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,783.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Suns | 47c | 74,862$35,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,005.58 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Suns | 7c | 73,305$4,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,915.75 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Suns | 61c | 62,190$37,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,713.85 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Suns | 61c | 49,570$30,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,174.28 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Suns | 62c | 49,461$30,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,518.32 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Suns | 58c | 47,765$27,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,571.75 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Heat | 36c | 45,000$16,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,599.99 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Suns | 61c | 44,286$26,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,834.1 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Suns | 58c | 42,123$24,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,464.93 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heat | 63c | 38,912$24,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,235.79 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Suns | 61c | 38,726$23,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,511.37 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Suns | 64c | 34,995$22,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,346.74 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Suns | 61c | 33,042$20,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,300.93 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03a9…37babacked Heat | 36c | 32,414$11,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,744.8 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Suns | 64c | 30,010$19,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,206.35 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Suns | 60c | 30,000$18,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,100 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Heat | 39c | 25,537$9,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,665.18 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Suns | 64c | 25,110$15,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,969.4 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Suns | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Heat | 41c | 24,390$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,390.24 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Heat | 43c | 21,800$9,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,466.28 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c14…7bc1backed Heat | 40c | 20,683$8,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,349.96 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Suns | 63c | 20,000$12,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,600.22 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…f9bdbacked Suns | 61c | 19,731$11,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,938.41 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Suns | 62c | 19,729$12,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,321.7 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Suns | 52c | 19,084$9,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,921.18 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Heat | 38c | 18,997$7,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,818.29 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Suns | 33c | 18,641$6,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,162.5 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Heat | 45c | 18,473$8,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,090.01 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…2fadbacked Heat | 39c | 18,000$7,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,980 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Suns | 63c | 16,627$10,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,536.74 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…c108backed Heat | 36c | 16,332$5,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,452.76 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Suns | 0c | 15,939$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb78…5206backed Suns | 40c | 14,825$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Suns | 0c | 14,582$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.77 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Suns | 36c | 13,974$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Suns | 62c | 13,900$8,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,641.01 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Suns | 63c | 13,742$8,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,698.86 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Suns | 37c | 13,346$4,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,940.09 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Suns | 33c | 12,942$4,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,241 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d75…c09fbacked Suns | 62c | 12,376$7,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,673 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Heat | 68c | 11,193$7,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,581.68 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2339…39b5backed Heat | 40c | 11,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,599.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +164.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b11…c12ebacked Suns | 59c | 11,000$6,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,489.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Suns | 61c | 10,661$6,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,502.91 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Suns | 60c | 10,289$6,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,179.15 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f04…4502backed Suns | 1c | 10,189$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed Suns | 63c | 10,110$6,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,323.36 | 277 | 58.8%163 W · 114 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Heat | 35c | 10,001$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500.63 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Suns | 34c | 9,855$3,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,369.46 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Suns | 61c | 8,794$5,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,354.42 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 49c | 8,586$4,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,201.5 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Suns | 60c | 8,317$4,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,990 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Suns | 61c | 8,197$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Suns | 60c | 8,100$4,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,893 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2b…7f04backed Suns | 61c | 7,900$4,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,817.96 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Heat | 61c | 7,848$4,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,075.26 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Suns | 63c | 7,830$4,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,932.9 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Suns | 60c | 7,800$4,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,680 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Suns | 63c | 7,555$4,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,759.75 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Heat | 52c | 7,374$3,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,525.97 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…7ba5backed Heat | 44c | 7,199$3,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,031.44 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Suns | 63c | 7,000$4,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,420 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Heat | 55c | 6,745$3,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059.85 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Suns | 60c | 6,694$4,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000.97 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a9…c8c6backed Suns | 61c | 6,610$4,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,032 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…8a8fbacked Heat | 39c | 6,527$2,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,981.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Heat | 38c | 6,173$2,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,827.44 | 284 | 39.8%113 W · 171 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Heat | 62c | 6,126$3,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,327.76 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Suns | 61c | 6,000$3,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,630 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Suns | 35c | 5,711$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Heat | 39c | 5,678$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,463.57 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Suns | 36c | 5,581$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Suns | 36c | 5,495$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.72 | 385 | 40.3%155 W · 230 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Suns | 59c | 5,494$3,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,261.64 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed Suns | 62c | 5,400$3,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,348 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Suns | 62c | 5,396$3,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,343.33 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Suns | 36c | 5,316$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932.21 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eee…0a68backed Suns | 26c | 5,119$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.39 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb611…e44dbacked Suns | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Heat | 69c | 4,555$3,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.6 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Heat | 41c | 4,477$1,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,634.21 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Suns | 62c | 4,445$2,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,755.72 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf895…be08backed Suns | 2c | 4,383$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6879…e06fbacked Suns | 57c | 4,380$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa944…fc24backed Suns | 57c | 4,375$2,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,493.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3996…efb7backed Heat | 43c | 4,370$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,490.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c85…0b76backed Heat | 43c | 4,370$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,490.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Suns | 47c | 4,308$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.25 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8be0…8e0bbacked Heat | 43c | 4,300$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,451 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc5…0eb0backed Suns | 57c | 4,290$2,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,445.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…4867backed Heat | 59c | 4,171$2,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,713.53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Heat | 65c | 4,156$2,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.21 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Suns | 58c | 4,135$2,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397.73 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Suns | 61c | 4,128$2,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,518 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Suns | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 397 | 44.3%176 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Sunsthis page
- Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Heat vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Heat vs. Suns: O/U 224.5Under won
- Heat vs. Suns: O/U 225.5Under won
- Heat vs. Suns: O/U 226.5Under won
- Heat vs. Suns: O/U 227.5Under won
- Heat vs. Suns: O/U 228.5Under won
- Heat vs. Suns: O/U 229.5Under won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Norman Powell: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Norman Powell: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Suns (-2.5)Heat won
- Spread: Suns (-3.5)Heat won
- Spread: Suns (-4.5)Heat won
- Spread: Suns (-5.5)Heat won
- Spread: Suns (-6.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.