TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9eee…0a68

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
34
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 50 out of 100; worst Lol at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-65%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+354.7%+$709.37
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$350
Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50.11
Will the US next strike Iran on January 21, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will the US next strike Iran on January 19, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will the US next strike Iran on January 18, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$280
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,792Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,792.31
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,125
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-30.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$47.71
Grizzlies vs. Rocketsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$3,682Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$3,681.95
Heat vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,340.39
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Knicks vs. Warriorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$900.24
Hawks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+245.5%+$638.28
Jazz vs. Mavericksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,598Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$2,597.84
All 8 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-31.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,700Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+62.2%+$2,303.16
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,980Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$4,698.57
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$272.1
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
All 5 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Toreros vs. Seattle Redhawksbacked San Diego Toreros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$700
SIUE Cougars vs. UT Martin Skyhawksbacked SIUE Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$534Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$534
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Adelaide International: Mirra Andreeva vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$408
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Veroja vs yache123 (BO3)backed Veroja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Utahbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,409.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3)backed Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$260
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.