Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Veroja vs yache123 (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93de12ce349212b9c13fc507b06f96aa9238dc1f43bc6cd670d7002905f402ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- yache123of Veroja, yache123
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eee…0a68backed Veroja | 14c | 695.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed yache123 | 47c | 499.97$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.99 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9cf1backed Veroja | 53c | 414$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.42 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed yache123 | 39c | 382.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.65 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Veroja | 60c | 246.7$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.02 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Veroja | 66c | 176$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.16 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed yache123 | 39c | 172.38$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Veroja | 40c | 157$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.28 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked yache123 | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Veroja | 60c | 138.96$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.38 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Veroja | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e4…b4d2backed yache123 | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Veroja | 52c | 89.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79d1…68b3backed yache123 | 15c | 85.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 16cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f9…cfd8backed yache123 | 55c | 72.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed yache123 | 34c | 59.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed Veroja | 53c | 51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Veroja | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Veroja | 56c | 41.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4acb…ddd3backed yache123 | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe7…1311backed yache123 | 47c | 24.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf8…89b0backed Veroja | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Veroja | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed37…e10ebacked Veroja | 64c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Veroja vs yache123 (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Veroja vs yache123 - Game 1 Winneryache123 won
- Dota 2: Veroja vs yache123 - Game 2 Winneryache123 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.