TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1fe7…1311

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Serie A, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 53 out of 100; worst Valorant at 34.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST3132.3%10 W · 21 L-8.0wins-0.26per pick58cpaid-49.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
Valorant — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Clash Group Alphabacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$79.4
Valorant: MIBR vs NRG (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$25.32
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Liquid (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$14.51
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+47.8%+$9.55
Valorant: MIBR vs G2 Esports - Map 3 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+61.3%+$11.6
Valorant: MIBR vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO5) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$114.82
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+42.9%+$30.73
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$115.32
Valorant: DRX vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+69.5%+$25.02
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25.82
Valorant: Paper Rex vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+58.7%+$41.15
Valorant: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+47.1%+$40.25
Valorant: Team Secret vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$16.05
Valorant: Team Secret vs ZETA DIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Valorant: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.69
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$11.24
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$19.99
Valorant: Trace Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$18.23
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2050%10 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$39.73
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.17
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FOKUS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.83
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+46.3%+$6.49
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Dbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+56.3%+$28.61
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$106
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+95%+$48.05
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+63.1%+$7.33
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.23
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$10.16
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+1.5)backed BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$12.54
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$36.23
Counter-Strike: NRG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$44.95
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$13.85
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$74.5
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+66.7%+$123.11
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BetBoom Team (BO3)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+112.8%+$12.4
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP (BO3)backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.19
All 20 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$73.57
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.89
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+78.3%+$17.77
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+51.5%+$7.73
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20.29
Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+69.5%+$10.42
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+72.4%+$9.09
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$61.11
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+53.8%+$12.38
Dota 2: Ivory vs REKONIX (BO3)backed REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$18.38
Dota 2: Veroja vs yache123 (BO3)backed yache123 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+114.1%+$13.05
Dota 2: Kukuys vs Team Nemesis (BO3)backed Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+71%+$24.85
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Dota 2: Kukuys vs Execration (BO3)backed Kukuys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Trailer Park Boys vs Team Nemesis (BO3)backed Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+45.1%+$21.15
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$28.62
All 17 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+43.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$19.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.