Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Kukuys vs Execration (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0aff19bd84e5a03a6948ac447d93f2dd2de01721101c5104c967d3a78feaf88b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Execrationof Kukuys, Execration
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9024…a444backed Kukuys | 3c | 5,071$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.18 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Execration | 47c | 3,216$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.63 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Kukuys | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Execration | 56c | 1,800$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.99 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Kukuys | 53c | 1,200$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.43 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kukuys | 38c | 1,152$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.7 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Execration | 64c | 658.9$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.07 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Execration | 50c | 613.78$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.78 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73d…80e7backed Execration | 80c | 577.47$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kukuys | 40c | 534.64$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Kukuys | 38c | 510.44$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.89 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Kukuys | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kukuys | 39c | 411.42$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.83 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Kukuys | 29c | 411.1$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.42 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…5a30backed Execration | 73c | 400.98$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.81 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kukuys | 33c | 390.94$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.55 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Execration | 73c | 369.76$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.99 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Execration | 74c | 360.86$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.82 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…ad17backed Kukuys | 40c | 353.44$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.01 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Kukuys | 44c | 321.49$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.46 | 168 | 35.7%60 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6218…f388backed Execration | 59c | 284.61$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.69 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kukuys | 36c | 266.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.93 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed Execration | 52c | 255.77$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.83 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kukuys | 41c | 224.93$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.22 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Kukuys | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Kukuys | 33c | 195.96$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.56 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f8…6ef8backed Execration | 54c | 183.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.58 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Execration | 57c | 183.22$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.79 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Kukuys | 40c | 182.93$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.17 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Execration | 63c | 159.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.61 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Execration | 65c | 154.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.62 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Execration | 68c | 149.91$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.97 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9501…a052backed Execration | 70c | 142.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.27 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…3d95backed Execration | 71c | 138.55$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a03…02a6backed Kukuys | 36c | 111.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Execration | 53c | 103.76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.24 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Execration | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked Execration | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Kukuys | 25c | 99.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Kukuys | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4499…d102backed Execration | 79c | 76.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Execration | 61c | 68.13$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b30…a315backed Execration | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Kukuys | 51c | 59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…4c5abacked Execration | 65c | 59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 94 | 78.7%74 W · 20 L | +13.0wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd25…03b9backed Kukuys | 45c | 55.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a32…0807backed Kukuys | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d1…73d5backed Execration | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Kukuys | 53c | 48.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Execration | 47c | 48.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Kukuys | 52c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Kukuys | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Kukuys | 27c | 40.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 138 | 27.5%38 W · 100 L | -15.0wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Kukuys | 30c | 39.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934e…3199backed Kukuys | 53c | 39.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a10…cf6cbacked Execration | 48c | 39.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…b234backed Kukuys | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe7…1311backed Kukuys | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…e9f8backed Kukuys | 33c | 37.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf76d…29d8backed Kukuys | 54c | 31.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfe…0837backed Execration | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kukuys | 48c | 26.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7719…80b6backed Execration | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c1…b554backed Kukuys | 41c | 24.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Execration | 63c | 24.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Execration | 69c | 24.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Kukuys | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked Kukuys | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 238 | 49.6%118 W · 120 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfffb…5f95backed Execration | 68c | 19.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f26…bf90backed Execration | 70c | 17.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Kukuys vs Execration (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Kukuys vs Execration - Game 1 WinnerExecration won
- Dota 2: Kukuys vs Execration - Game 2 WinnerExecration won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.