TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf76d…29d8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST2152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - European Pro League Group Abacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO5) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.42
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Yakutou Brothers (BO3) - ESL Challenger China Playoffsbacked Yakutou Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+63.4%+$15.85
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Yakutou Brothers vs Game Master (BO3) - ESL Challenger China Playoffsbacked Yakutou Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Game Master (BO1) - ESL Challenger China Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+42.9%+$27.43
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+41.9%+$17.6
Dota 2: Team Public vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - EPL Championship Playoffsbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+96.1%+$11.53
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Aurora (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Playoffsbacked Pipsqueak+4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17.99
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$24.55
Dota 2: Yakutou Brothers vs REKONIX (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yakutou Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Dota 2: Heroic vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Valinor (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Valinor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.98
Dota 2: Yakutou Brothers vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+113.5%+$11.93
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+100%+$15
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Power Rangers (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Group Cbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+75.4%+$37.72
Dota 2: Aurora vs AVULUS (BO3)backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+37%+$14.79
Dota 2: Kukuys vs Execration (BO3)backed Kukuys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+81.8%+$21.27
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST2050%10 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+63.9%+$9.59
Lakers vs. Knicksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Nets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6.43
Pistons vs. Sunsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+96.1%+$10.57
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Lakers vs. Cavaliersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+69.5%+$10.42
Heat vs. Sunsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+108.9%+$32.66
Raptors vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Pelicans vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+117.4%+$22.3
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+100%+$11
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.85
Spurs vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Clippers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bucks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+88.7%+$12.42
All 20 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1850%9 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+61.3%+$9.19
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs NIP (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+63.9%+$9.59
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+185.7%+$27.86
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+138.1%+$24.3
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Playoffsbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.54
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+72.4%+$31.86
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+72.4%+$17.29
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+75.4%+$18.86
Counter-Strike: 9z vs ShindeN - Map 2 Winnerbacked ShindeN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+132.7%+$17.25
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GenOne (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Play-In Group Dbacked FORZE Reload · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Play-In Group Cbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 18 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+85.2%+$16.67
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+100%+$16.7
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$12.18
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$29
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stagebacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+29.9%+$8.96
LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$16
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+100%+$13
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+33.3%+$17.67
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-66.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.86
Devils vs. Oilersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+35.1%+$6.68
Islanders vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
DEL: ERC Ingolstadt vs. Koelner Haiebacked Koelner Haie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+121.8%+$18.27
All 4 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+45.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Marcos Giron vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+38.9%+$8.17
ASB Classic: Petra Marcinko vs Alexandra Ealabacked Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$10.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+52.8%+$18.48
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Colorado Buffaloesbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: T1 vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.