CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87127bad077a544b6e9f094976c6bbbb595a5d46967e6d82be0b7ff0a576e0ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Favbetof Favbet, MOUZ NXT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,575
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,575 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed Favbet | 60c | 15,616$9,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,288.77 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked MOUZ NXT | 40c | 5,280$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MOUZ NXT | 37c | 2,906$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.09 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed MOUZ NXT | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb88e…08f3backed MOUZ NXT | 41c | 1,356$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ NXT | 35c | 1,193$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.84 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Favbet | 77c | 909.63$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.63 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…5e03backed MOUZ NXT | 34c | 853.1$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -6.5wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed MOUZ NXT | 24c | 801.89$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.67 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked MOUZ NXT | 48c | 621.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 180 | 40.6%73 W · 107 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed MOUZ NXT | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MOUZ NXT | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed MOUZ NXT | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Favbet | 55c | 499.98$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.99 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Favbet | 61c | 483.3$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.84 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MOUZ NXT | 25c | 436.44$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.39 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Favbet | 60c | 396.57$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.63 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked MOUZ NXT | 40c | 330$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked MOUZ NXT | 41c | 311$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.51 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…6bc8backed MOUZ NXT | 47c | 291.65$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.48 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed MOUZ NXT | 40c | 241.73$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.69 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed MOUZ NXT | 31c | 211.16$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.13 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2e…44c3backed MOUZ NXT | 40c | 183.28$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.78 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Favbet | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Favbet | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 204 | 62.7%128 W · 76 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06b0…afd6backed Favbet | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…9c5bbacked MOUZ NXT | 36c | 124.79$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed MOUZ NXT | 22c | 123.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Favbet | 66c | 111.32$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.32 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Favbet | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed MOUZ NXT | 21c | 99.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Favbet | 51c | 97.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Favbet | 44c | 79.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Favbet | 60c | 71.65$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe646…7f8ebacked MOUZ NXT | 24c | 68.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa100…60e1backed MOUZ NXT | 36c | 59.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 137 | 37.2%51 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked MOUZ NXT | 40c | 54.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…2034backed Favbet | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c9…d487backed MOUZ NXT | 26c | 50.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb77a…f876backed MOUZ NXT | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed MOUZ NXT | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 248 | 50.4%125 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Favbet | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Favbet | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed MOUZ NXT | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…3803backed Favbet | 57c | 47.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Favbet | 72c | 46.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…4dccbacked MOUZ NXT | 40c | 42.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed MOUZ NXT | 39c | 42.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed MOUZ NXT | 40c | 41.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 157 | 38.2%60 W · 97 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0250…278ebacked Favbet | 71c | 38.94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf76d…29d8backed MOUZ NXT | 56c | 37.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Favbet | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2598…5e58backed Favbet | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Favbet | 63c | 31.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Favbet | 64c | 30.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…c63ebacked MOUZ NXT | 46c | 30.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked MOUZ NXT | 37c | 29.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9a…becbbacked Favbet | 66c | 29.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9251…1fe5backed Favbet | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f2…0546backed Favbet | 68c | 28.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe12…93aebacked MOUZ NXT | 35c | 28.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8432…d2c4backed Favbet | 74c | 26.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60c0…db84backed Favbet | 75c | 21.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…9f17backed Favbet | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Favbet vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Favbet vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ NXT won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.