TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa100…60e1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
143
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Middle East, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT13737.2%51 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 137 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Phantom (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked The Last Resort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$216
Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs AaB Esport (BO3) - United21 Group Bbacked AaB Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.4
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Nemiga (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.62
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 9z (BO5) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte (BO5) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$412.13
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs BIG Academy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked BIG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Misa Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$24.12
Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.2
Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Phantom (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs KOLESIE (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS Playoffsbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.06
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.17
Counter-Strike: Brute vs playersclub (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series 1 Playoffsbacked Brute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18
Counter-Strike: magic vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.49
Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Crashers (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffsbacked Vasco Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$28.2
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Legacy (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.87
Counter-Strike: 9z vs ALKA (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffsbacked ALKA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.93
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$15.2
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.96
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs 9z (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffsbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$48.5
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Imperial (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Bounty Hunters Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
Counter-Strike: R2 Esports Club vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Group Stagebacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$24
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs WW Team (BO3) - JB Pro League Season 2 Playoffsbacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+50.7%+$17.74
Showing 25 of 137 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+38.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$17.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 January 12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.