CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bba451f478d2fa99d01d0a7d9219d183c5ec43c5b7bffee6b4bd80f3523b914
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof Heroic, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $162,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $174,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Heroic | 51c | 80,000$41,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,999.96 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 51,945$24,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,933.6 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed 100 Thieves | 54c | 18,314$9,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,889.6 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked Heroic | 44c | 9,599$4,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,346.75 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d96…443ebacked 100 Thieves | 56c | 8,965$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Heroic | 46c | 6,541$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,540.91 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Heroic | 45c | 6,053$2,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,330.46 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked 100 Thieves | 53c | 6,023$3,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,197.83 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Heroic | 46c | 4,200$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,268 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked Heroic | 40c | 3,406$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.33 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed 100 Thieves | 49c | 2,981$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.06 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 2,800$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 2,517$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.07 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Heroic | 46c | 2,415$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.22 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Heroic | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.63 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Heroic | 42c | 1,914$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.65 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 1,679$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.36 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked 100 Thieves | 51c | 1,600$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked 100 Thieves | 63c | 1,463$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.43 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed Heroic | 35c | 1,333$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.02 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed 100 Thieves | 24c | 1,301$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.73 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…3ec1backed 100 Thieves | 41c | 1,102$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.4 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed 100 Thieves | 18c | 1,055$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.78 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…99bcbacked 100 Thieves | 54c | 971.38$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.04 | 136 | 57.4%78 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 913.99$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.13 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked 100 Thieves | 57c | 877$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.97 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Heroic | 46c | 870$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.8 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Heroic | 46c | 861$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.33 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed 100 Thieves | 64c | 781$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.84 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 776.45$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.25 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc53d…52b3backed 100 Thieves | 67c | 743.63$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…c4adbacked Heroic | 45c | 670$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.5 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Heroic | 35c | 662.48$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.96 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9b…44c3backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 636.58$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.12 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed 100 Thieves | 21c | 607.88$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Heroic | 31c | 599.99$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.99 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Heroic | 46c | 590.58$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.6 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…3ddebacked Heroic | 46c | 586.96$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 568.86$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.87 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8581…e74dbacked 100 Thieves | 61c | 553.77$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.13 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed 100 Thieves | 58c | 471.24$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.32 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Heroic | 49c | 465.85$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.85 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc255…0470backed Heroic | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa359…4387backed Heroic | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked 100 Thieves | 51c | 390.2$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Heroic | 45c | 374.98$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.99 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 368$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.68 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf737…43a9backed Heroic | 73c | 342.04$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d40…2230backed 100 Thieves | 71c | 341.22$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Heroic | 39c | 330.62$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.54 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 328.97$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.12 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfe…d83fbacked Heroic | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 320$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked 100 Thieves | 64c | 311.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f8…22babacked Heroic | 65c | 309.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.22 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…8795backed 100 Thieves | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…24d2backed Heroic | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Heroic | 35c | 292$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.9 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Heroic | 45c | 280$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 317 | 31.9%101 W · 216 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed Heroic | 46c | 275$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed Heroic | 46c | 272$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.88 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Heroic | 44c | 268.18$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.18 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed Heroic | 45c | 257.67$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.67 | 218 | 67%146 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heroic | 44c | 255.13$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.68 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Heroic | 36c | 250$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked Heroic | 62c | 243.75$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.63 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…be26backed Heroic | 64c | 230$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.62 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed 100 Thieves | 57c | 224.4$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Heroic | 39c | 222.61$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.79 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed 100 Thieves | 65c | 213.04$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.55 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Heroic | 48c | 207.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.21 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed 100 Thieves | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…44edbacked 100 Thieves | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…41ebbacked 100 Thieves | 61c | 184.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.84 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40cc…f83abacked 100 Thieves | 56c | 174.23$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.72 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a0…f9d1backed Heroic | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.91 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked 100 Thieves | 57c | 165.06$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.39 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x494c…8923backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 163.64$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed 100 Thieves | 57c | 160$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.7 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…6b53backed Heroic | 36c | 154.64$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.97 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 152.62$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.62 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed 100 Thieves | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked 100 Thieves | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked 100 Thieves | 61c | 150$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Heroic | 37c | 149.89$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Heroic | 42c | 149.29$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.59 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Heroic | 61c | 146.79$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.37 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…ae72backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 145.6$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.21 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Heroic | 38c | 135$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.36 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6b…2a84backed Heroic | 52c | 130.53$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.34 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Heroic | 49c | 126.53$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.53 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…2359backed 100 Thieves | 61c | 125$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.8 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Heroic | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Heroic | 34c | 117.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.49 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ff…82c2backed 100 Thieves | 13c | 117.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner100 Thieves won
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 WinnerHeroic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.