TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2f6b…2a84

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
107
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Movies, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT3638.9%14 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs OG (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Bbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.96
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs OG - Map 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs FOKUS (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Bbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Acend (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+191.2%+$97.5
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs OG (BO3) - DraculaN Group Bbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$201
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.3
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Counter-Strike: Chinggis Warriors vs FengDa Gaming (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #3 Playoffsbacked Chinggis Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.45
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+253.6%+$339.7
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.32
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.01
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$76.5
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+139.7%+$53.93
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.26
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$133
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+113.5%+$95.36
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$45.78
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$30.3
Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked CSDIILIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.21
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT2737%10 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.61
Morocco vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Scotland vs. Brazil: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Switzerland vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+43%+$43
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Colombia leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Panama vs. Croatia: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$127.26
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$244.83
England vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+68.7%+$137.31
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Belgium leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$595Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$278.06
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32.47
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Morocco leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$72.91
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Canada leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$29.96
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Czechia vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+79.5%+$31
Spread: Ghana (-1.5)backed Ghana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Mexico win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Kyoji Horiguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$221
UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Navajo Stirling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$78.56
UFC Fight Night: Christian Rodriguez vs. Hyder Amil (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Hyder Amil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
UFC Fight Night: Melsik Baghdasaryan vs. Murtazali Magomedov (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Melsik Baghdasaryan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Vinicius Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$68.17
UFC Fight Night: Kevin Borjas vs. Andre Lima (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Kevin Borjas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$110.83
UFC Fight Night: Melissa Mullins vs. Bia Mesquita (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Melissa Mullins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Mitch Raposo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$67.5
UFC Fight Night: Gaston Bolaños vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Gaston Bolaños · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$100.43
UFC Fight Night: Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Karol Rosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Fight Night: Leon Shahbazyan vs. Levan Chokheli (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Levan Chokheli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$56.33
Will Brandon Moreno win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.74
UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Regina Tarin (Catchweight, Prelims)backed Ernesta Kareckaite · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$230.43
Will Francis Marshall win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 15 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+237.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-62.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+148.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+201.8%+$44.05
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$96.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+92.3%+$46.15
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$38.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: French Flair vs BIG (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$23.99
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+63.9%+$19.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Lulu Sun vs Taylor Townsendbacked Taylor Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+28.2%+$8.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Kingsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.