UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Christian Rodriguez vs. Hyder Amil (Featherweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29feee7a24fb5c99589b6271eeeadc6cb5bd85069af7496b16c255680eba77f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Christian Rodriguezof Christian Rodriguez, Hyder Amil
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $779,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $780,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $779,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Christian Rodriguez | 68c | 562,149$382,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179,962.58 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Hyder Amil | 32c | 170,000$54,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,600 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Hyder Amil | 32c | 82,577$26,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,424.77 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Hyder Amil | 32c | 79,103$25,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,312.91 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3535…a775backed Hyder Amil | 33c | 60,210$19,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,869.37 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Hyder Amil | 33c | 45,005$14,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,851.51 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Hyder Amil | 32c | 30,833$9,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,870.14 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Hyder Amil | 32c | 21,453$6,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,864.99 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hyder Amil | 32c | 20,000$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,400 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Hyder Amil | 32c | 15,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Hyder Amil | 33c | 7,646$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.75 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Christian Rodriguez | 67c | 6,982$4,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,305.84 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Hyder Amil | 32c | 5,970$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.29 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Hyder Amil | 20c | 5,134$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.68 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Hyder Amil | 32c | 4,829$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.14 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Hyder Amil | 33c | 4,178$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.3 | 267 | 36%96 W · 171 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Hyder Amil | 32c | 4,123$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.81 | 203 | 48.3%98 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Christian Rodriguez | 66c | 3,947$2,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.98 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Christian Rodriguez | 80c | 3,420$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.24 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Hyder Amil | 32c | 3,269$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.17 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Hyder Amil | 1c | 3,252$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Hyder Amil | 28c | 3,250$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.49 | 540 | 56.7%306 W · 234 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22c2…8f8bbacked Hyder Amil | 34c | 3,226$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Hyder Amil | 34c | 3,056$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.16 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Hyder Amil | 33c | 3,030$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Christian Rodriguez | 67c | 3,000$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.46 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Hyder Amil | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Hyder Amil | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.98 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Hyder Amil | 32c | 2,682$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.15 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hyder Amil | 32c | 2,681$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.37 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Christian Rodriguez | 66c | 2,114$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.76 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Christian Rodriguez | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Hyder Amil | 34c | 1,999$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.61 | 138 | 36.2%50 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x458e…fa79backed Hyder Amil | 33c | 1,990$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…8618backed Hyder Amil | 18c | 1,625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…4652backed Christian Rodriguez | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.69 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed Hyder Amil | 31c | 1,413$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.08 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Hyder Amil | 1c | 1,400$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…23d5backed Hyder Amil | 33c | 1,365$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.79 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Christian Rodriguez | 68c | 1,326$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.72 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Hyder Amil | 1c | 1,315$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 360 | 48.3%174 W · 186 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Hyder Amil | 32c | 1,205$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.51 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Hyder Amil | 32c | 1,175$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.2 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Christian Rodriguez | 68c | 1,053$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.07 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b1…b335backed Hyder Amil | 2c | 1,035$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 28cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Hyder Amil | 33c | 1,030$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…bc89backed Christian Rodriguez | 68c | 1,029$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Hyder Amil | 33c | 1,008$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.64 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d4acbacked Hyder Amil | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Hyder Amil | 34c | 999.99$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.72 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Christian Rodriguez | 67c | 999.93$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.98 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3155…268ebacked Christian Rodriguez | 64c | 939.32$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.33 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Christian Rodriguez | 67c | 898.69$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.57 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Hyder Amil | 33c | 860.41$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.82 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Hyder Amil | 36c | 799.98$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.99 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Christian Rodriguez | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Christian Rodriguez | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Hyder Amil | 33c | 730.3$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…9251backed Hyder Amil | 32c | 665.97$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.11 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Hyder Amil | 33c | 663.33$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.9 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Christian Rodriguez | 68c | 660.34$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.34 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ceb…b821backed Christian Rodriguez | 64c | 641.42$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.91 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Hyder Amil | 32c | 597.53$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.01 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Hyder Amil | 33c | 593.75$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.24 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Christian Rodriguez | 79c | 589.69$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.83 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…f60abacked Christian Rodriguez | 68c | 558.82$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.82 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Hyder Amil | 33c | 558.48$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.3 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63a7…3bb2backed Christian Rodriguez | 68c | 526.47$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.47 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac65…cfe6backed Christian Rodriguez | 64c | 520.6$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.6 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…36f4backed Christian Rodriguez | 67c | 520.3$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.29 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Christian Rodriguez | 68c | 516.35$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.35 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…23c9backed Christian Rodriguez | 68c | 516$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.12 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a70…4865backed Christian Rodriguez | 68c | 514.71$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.71 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91bc…28d6backed Christian Rodriguez | 68c | 514.71$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.71 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…f4dfbacked Hyder Amil | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Hyder Amil | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5df…0f22backed Hyder Amil | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Hyder Amil | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Hyder Amil | 33c | 481.67$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.95 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Hyder Amil | 21c | 477.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 162 | 56.8%92 W · 70 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xded6…f649backed Christian Rodriguez | 68c | 470.75$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.64 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Hyder Amil | 33c | 454$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.82 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Hyder Amil | 34c | 434.5$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.73 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -5.4wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Hyder Amil | 21c | 415$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.15 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Christian Rodriguez | 68c | 399.99$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Hyder Amil | 33c | 399.98$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…9b3dbacked Christian Rodriguez | 68c | 395$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.4 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Christian Rodriguez | 79c | 387.86$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.74 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Hyder Amil | 34c | 369.83$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.84 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…1bd3backed Christian Rodriguez | 68c | 360.29$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Hyder Amil | 33c | 345.24$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.93 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Hyder Amil | 34c | 334.08$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.59 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda79…daecbacked Hyder Amil | 35c | 327.68$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.96 | 185 | 40.5%75 W · 110 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Hyder Amil | 33c | 323.61$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.79 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93a8…4287backed Christian Rodriguez | 68c | 316.18$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.18 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Hyder Amil | 33c | 310.7$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83d…367dbacked Hyder Amil | 32c | 310$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Christian Rodriguez | 67c | 304.97$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.64 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…98c4backed Hyder Amil | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Hyder Amil | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Christian Rodriguez vs. Hyder Amil (Featherweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.