TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x91bc…28d6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
669
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NHL, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 61 out of 100; worst Champions League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT20957.4%120 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 209 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-Inbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 4 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$40.42
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$65.45
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$163.38
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$112.68
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$38.43
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$41.55
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Groupbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Showing 25 of 209 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT19754.8%108 W · 89 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 197 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$70.94
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Soxbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$49.56
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$41.21
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$53.33
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Blake Snell: Strikeouts O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$35.47
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$53.33
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$57.65
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$68.15
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$57.93
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$30.18
Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$23.93
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$36.92
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$48.89
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$25.57
Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
Washington Nationals winning after 5 innings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 197 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT7459.5%44 W · 30 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$93.33
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$28.62
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.61
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$25.57
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$166.53
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$27.8
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$41.63
Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$28.97
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$34.07
Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$28.97
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$53.02
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$30.18
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Panama vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$26.67
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT5457.4%31 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$157.14
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$74.29
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$156.41
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$340.54
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$53.02
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$31.43
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+65.4%+$26.15
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$60.39
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$38.43
Jalen Williams: Points O/U 17.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$81.21
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$41.63
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+402.5%+$78.3
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT5271.2%37 W · 15 L+7.7wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+28.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NHL — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$35.47
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+82%+$32.82
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$38.43
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$138.98
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$40
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$26.67
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$55.24
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$26.89
Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+400%+$40
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.56
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52.48
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.13
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$59.09
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.74
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.07
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$48.43
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$25.2
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$32.01
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$33.89
Kraken vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT4658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Serghei Spivac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
UFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Jackson McVey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Mackenzie Dern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$21.54
Will Mansur Abdul-Malik win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
UFC 330: Lucas Fernando vs. Rafael Tobias (Light Heavyweight, Early Prelims)backed Rafael Tobias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Diyar Nurgozhay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Ramazan Temirov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Muhammad Said (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Dustin Jacoby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Dricus Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.61
UFC Fight Night: Austin Bashi vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Austin Bashi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Seokhyeon Ko (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Seokhyeon Ko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.42
UFC Fight Night: Felipe Franco vs. Levi Rodrigues Jr. (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Felipe Franco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$55.24
UFC Fight Night: Damien Anderson vs. Ezra Elliott (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Ezra Elliott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$48.89
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Paddy Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Cory Sandhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Robert Whittaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$133.02
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Manuel Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$188.6
UFC Fight Night: Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Asu Almabayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$116.67
UFC Fight Night: Eric Nolan vs. Farman Hasanov (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Eric Nolan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
UFC Fight Night: Nursulton Ruziboev vs. Andrey Pulyaev (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Andrey Pulyaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Javier Reyes vs. Kaan Ofli (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Javier Reyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Manel Kape · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$379.64
UFC Fight Night: Christian Rodriguez vs. Hyder Amil (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Christian Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$164.71
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milan: Elmer Moeller vs Pierluigi Basilebacked Elmer Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Dammbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$19.7
Bad Homburg Open: Iga Swiatek vs Emma Navarrobacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs August Holmgrenbacked Jerome Kym · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$48.89
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Tatjana Mariabacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
HSBC Championships: Jenson Brooksby vs Martin Dammbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Rafael Jodarbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.15
BMW Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$34.19
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.12
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$34.59
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$93.25
Spread: Oklahoma Sooners (-6.5)backed Oklahoma Sooners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.84
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$87.91
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.54
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.28
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.19
All 8 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.42per pick42cpaid+143.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2last resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$30.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$29.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CSyD Macará win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.