TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs August Holmgren

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jerome Kymof Jerome Kym, August Holmgren
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,097
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,067

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,097 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf6c…7e66backed Jerome Kym74c14,388$10,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,811.531,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed August Holmgren15c9,867$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,437.958,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed August Holmgren28c7,072$1,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,983.538,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Jerome Kym69c6,168$4,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,930.284,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x512a…d537backed August Holmgren54c3,680$1,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,969.359340.9%38 W · 55 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked August Holmgren40c2,719$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.5811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Jerome Kym51c2,078$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.3656651.8%293 W · 273 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed August Holmgren50c1,970$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.953,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked August Holmgren57c1,930$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10048855.9%273 W · 215 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked August Holmgren49c1,629$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80070041.1%288 W · 412 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed Jerome Kym46c1,506$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.1814264.8%92 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Jerome Kym70c1,308$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.344,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Jerome Kym46c1,100$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5944131.7%13 W · 28 L-6.0wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb1a0…fb89backed August Holmgren33c1,096$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35718741.2%77 W · 110 L+0.9wins0.00per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Jerome Kym68c1,029$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3294,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Jerome Kym45c1,000$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.969,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Jerome Kym50c964.54$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.271,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Jerome Kym50c935.69$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.262,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Jerome Kym56c870.98$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.231,36338.3%522 W · 841 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Jerome Kym51c707.49$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.6729146%134 W · 157 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6759…95a7backed August Holmgren27c706.93$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.139736.1%35 W · 62 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed August Holmgren37c671.02$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.4892145.2%416 W · 505 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed August Holmgren35c608.33$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21517646%81 W · 95 L+11.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked August Holmgren28c606.29$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.976,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Jerome Kym46c601.96$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.314,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Jerome Kym45c600$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32917442.5%74 W · 100 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed August Holmgren34c580.93$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.658,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked August Holmgren48c552.43$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.692,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x92c8…45f6backed August Holmgren38c550.31$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.5222544.4%100 W · 125 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked August Holmgren54c545.3$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.463,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked August Holmgren50c504.21$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25031039.4%122 W · 188 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x411e…72f0backed August Holmgren53c500.18$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26515762.4%98 W · 59 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2de6…fb10backed Jerome Kym52c446.15$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.1545256.2%254 W · 198 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed August Holmgren53c419.38$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.2787337.1%324 W · 549 L-3.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdf5…d359backed August Holmgren39c400$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1545127.5%14 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed Jerome Kym52c357.58$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.7622056.4%124 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked August Holmgren51c300$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.041,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5282…82fcbacked August Holmgren55c272.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503938.5%15 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed August Holmgren49c252.9$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.051,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed August Holmgren13c250$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.36,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb213…49e1backed Jerome Kym72c237.84$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.620953.6%112 W · 97 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-21%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Jerome Kym50c210.96$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4852152.2%272 W · 249 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3705…9677backed August Holmgren49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013029.2%38 W · 92 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…e0c1backed August Holmgren25c202.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013041.5%54 W · 76 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed August Holmgren6c201.8$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.611,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e50…4b22backed Jerome Kym51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0835457.3%203 W · 151 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed August Holmgren28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5088935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a99…d29fbacked August Holmgren59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030642.2%129 W · 177 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Jerome Kym75c168.9$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.989824.5%24 W · 74 L-16.0wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-58.9%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed August Holmgren23c168.8$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.822,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked August Holmgren32c167$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8999244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed August Holmgren45c166.32$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.82,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked August Holmgren28c148.52$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.581,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa99f…164bbacked August Holmgren28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4027528.4%78 W · 197 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-7.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Jerome Kym47c142.47$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.185348.9%417 W · 436 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Jerome Kym45c134.44$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.441,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Jerome Kym50c116$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5896844.4%430 W · 538 L-1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Jerome Kym52c114.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.062,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed August Holmgren29c112.41$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.91,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Jerome Kym71c112$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.581,22255%672 W · 550 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed August Holmgren49c108.91$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.372,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee8a…69acbacked Jerome Kym46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.710761.7%66 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac71…b3eabacked August Holmgren49c108.16$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5315748.4%76 W · 81 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed August Holmgren49c105$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4528237.9%107 W · 175 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed August Holmgren48c104.68$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2550845.9%233 W · 275 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3a…bdffbacked August Holmgren49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Jerome Kym67c90.77$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.581,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91bc…28d6backed Jerome Kym45c88.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.89933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked August Holmgren50c88$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked August Holmgren32c84.37$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.741,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x3ce6…f60abacked Jerome Kym61c82.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.11560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x301d…604dbacked August Holmgren25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207432.4%24 W · 50 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked August Holmgren49c79.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.222246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed Jerome Kym46c78.26$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2624446.3%113 W · 131 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59a4…260fbacked August Holmgren54c76.8$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.473737.8%14 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed August Holmgren55c73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1580341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa461…878abacked August Holmgren57c70.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4021964.8%142 W · 77 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed August Holmgren50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3531153.1%165 W · 146 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Jerome Kym71c70$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.31,83759.2%1,088 W · 749 L+8.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd1e…4754backed August Holmgren34c69.81$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6343444.9%195 W · 239 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed August Holmgren56c69.44$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5443952.4%230 W · 209 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked August Holmgren30c68$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.561,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4655…0d73backed August Holmgren23c62.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.695048%24 W · 26 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed August Holmgren50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,15148.7%560 W · 591 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e60…536bbacked Jerome Kym45c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+40.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Jerome Kym50c59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.57,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8cd…ba81backed August Holmgren27c58.85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8447431.9%151 W · 323 L-21.1wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed August Holmgren51c52.92$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.081,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dff…7fecbacked Jerome Kym69c52.04$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.978743.7%38 W · 49 L-8.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Jerome Kym50c52$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2643553.1%231 W · 204 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed August Holmgren52c51.44$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7552341.5%217 W · 306 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Jerome Kym69c50.66$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.96,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae8e…08f9backed Jerome Kym50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2511653.4%62 W · 54 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed August Holmgren34c49$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.543750.3%220 W · 217 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb556…b5e5backed August Holmgren24c48.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.646149.2%30 W · 31 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x20bf…2be9backed August Holmgren52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514841.9%62 W · 86 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac50…d728backed Jerome Kym51c45.08$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0928343.8%124 W · 159 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed August Holmgren39c44.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.472,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadde…ec24backed August Holmgren53c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.29948.5%48 W · 51 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf76…ffeabacked August Holmgren38c39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.734729.4%102 W · 245 L-35.6wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-35.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.