TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4655…0d73

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst Champions League at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT5048%24 W · 26 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Waltonbacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+126.1%+$21.67
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$25.41
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.85
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$4.84
Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Mark Lajalbacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+179.5%+$67.58
Brownsburg: Dhakshineswar Suresh vs Rei Sakamotobacked Rei Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderibacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.05
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+257.7%+$65.37
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Ealabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.88
National Bank Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.85
National Bank Open: Xiyu Wang vs Sara Bejlekbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+26%+$15.55
National Bank Open: Aoi Ito vs Katherine Sebovbacked Katherine Sebov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$7.81
The Memphis Classic: Kristina Liutova vs Maya Jointbacked Maya Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.93
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Polina Kudermetovabacked Polina Kudermetova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+163.5%+$212.33
San Marino: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Carlos Tabernerbacked Carlos Taberner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.31
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kei Nishikori vs Juncheng Shangbacked Kei Nishikori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+110.6%+$43.49
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajdabacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.47
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Emma Navarro vs Sofia Keninbacked Sofia Kenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.77
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tausonbacked Clara Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.93
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+97.2%+$131.99
Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.75
Livesport Prague Open: Lilli Tagger vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Barbora Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.75
Hamburg European Open: Elina Avanesyan vs Anna Bondarbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+228.1%+$335.4
Estoril Open: Jaime Faria vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+133.7%+$424.21
Bloomfield Hills: Michael Zheng vs Adam Waltonbacked Michael Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$74.35
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+93.9%+$25.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$8.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.