Other European Leagues · resolved market
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d13a865117a5739cff6b022967ead411f21dc2d8d10d2b9d7de32f627d9a043
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 30c | 4,829$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.8 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 3,724$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.81 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x145a…5e86backed Over | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.42 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Under | 42c | 2,928$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 66c | 2,847$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.81 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 35c | 2,192$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.63 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 44c | 2,027$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.49 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb98…b473backed Over | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 19c | 1,447$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.93 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 26c | 1,091$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.98 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 19c | 821$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.99 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…6f93backed Over | 55c | 749.97$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.49 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Under | 10c | 548.42$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd2…afcebacked Under | 2c | 510.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 58c | 275.52$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.72 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 20c | 265.7$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.14 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 69c | 259.45$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.45 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 58c | 255.59$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.35 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 38c | 186.31$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.92 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Under | 8c | 179.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 35c | 166.57$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 37c | 166.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.08 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 76c | 155.58$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 19c | 145.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 76c | 143.1$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 63c | 138.76$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 58c | 132$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 69c | 130.29$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.39 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 59c | 124$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 40c | 106$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 38c | 105.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 50c | 89.51$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.76 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Under | 42c | 86.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 41c | 85.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 41c | 78.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 76c | 74.3$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +139.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 71c | 73.29$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 60c | 66.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6288…fd46backed Over | 56c | 63.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Over | 55c | 59.07$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 64c | 58.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 19c | 54.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 30c | 54.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed Under | 38c | 52.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…65f2backed Under | 31c | 48.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 59c | 47.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 39c | 45.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4655…0d73backed Over | 69c | 43.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Under | 30c | 41.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 69c | 41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 49c | 35.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…41abbacked Over | 58c | 32.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 52c | 31.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 58c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 58c | 26.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 67c | 24.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 58c | 24.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x564b…1e19backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5this page
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: CF Estrela da Amadora 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5Over won
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5Over won
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: O/U 4.5Under won
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CF Estrela da Amadora (-1.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)CF Estrela da Amadora won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)CF Estrela da Amadora won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.