Other European Leagues · resolved market
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b4c5482c5c1de7f073bbe2d6d5d449cd9ab2f9885397a8a0fd02671640ed75d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Under | 5c | 5,302$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.09 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcba…c950backed Under | 32c | 4,269$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.87 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 2c | 3,652$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.06 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Under | 7c | 3,450$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 42c | 3,029$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.89 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 3,020$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.81 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 2c | 2,661$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.89 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Under | 6c | 2,593$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Under | 5c | 2,376$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 58c | 1,645$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.03 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Under | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…77e6backed Under | 2c | 1,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +215.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…6f93backed Over | 63c | 1,190$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.32 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcf…e455backed Over | 79c | 1,103$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x145a…5e86backed Over | 62c | 1,002$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.31 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 42c | 999.99$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 944.95$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.42 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 42c | 927.86$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.7 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 5c | 853$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Under | 7c | 719.76$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.79 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Under | 34c | 549.97$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.49 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Over | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Over | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 6c | 286.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbe…ccebbacked Over | 42c | 214.29$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +132%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 54c | 205.33$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.88 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…c645backed Under | 10c | 195.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 53c | 182.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.75 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Over | 77c | 181.17$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed Over | 66c | 151.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 53c | 136.74$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.45 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…fb15backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 51c | 123.59$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.56 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 40c | 122.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…7c68backed Under | 49c | 122.29$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa249…08b6backed Under | 23c | 119.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda97…4357backed Over | 55c | 109.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 67c | 99.98$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Under | 53c | 81.79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked Under | 13c | 79.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +574.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 38c | 73.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 48c | 73.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 49c | 66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 63c | 65.18$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 61c | 57.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 42c | 54.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 50c | 52.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17c5…ecdfbacked Under | 35c | 51.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc6…d5e0backed Under | 33c | 49.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 41c | 49.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 45c | 44.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5419…e3d2backed Over | 60c | 41.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 50c | 40.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…1673backed Over | 79c | 37.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed Under | 51c | 35.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…d8f0backed Over | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Under | 42c | 25.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ff…50cbbacked Over | 79c | 25.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b4…7c3fbacked Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Over | 71c | 24.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 76 | 82.9%63 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 60c | 24.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…f26ebacked Over | 80c | 22.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 58c | 20.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15f0…7e1ebacked Over | 65c | 19.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 72cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec1e…0d9cbacked Over | 73c | 18.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 66c | 18.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…8e6fbacked Over | 72c | 15.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 66c | 15.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5this page
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: CF Estrela da Amadora 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5Over won
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: O/U 4.5Under won
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CF Estrela da Amadora (-1.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)CF Estrela da Amadora won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)CF Estrela da Amadora won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.