Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8a57a2ea7369d5eab145c92cd2c962b52f8707b93f8a4bc129c51c673e300b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CF Estrela da Amadoraof Sporting CP, CF Estrela da Amadora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,460
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,460 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sporting CP | 50c | 4,674$2,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,331.92 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed CF Estrela da Amadora | 11c | 4,595$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,089.29 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed CF Estrela da Amadora | 50c | 3,756$1,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,877.78 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Sporting CP | 51c | 2,626$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.79 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked CF Estrela da Amadora | 49c | 2,575$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.56 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa65…1021backed Sporting CP | 59c | 2,300$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CF Estrela da Amadora | 66c | 1,372$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.96 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed CF Estrela da Amadora | 41c | 1,349$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.91 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Sporting CP | 44c | 1,134$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed CF Estrela da Amadora | 44c | 757.79$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.23 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf78b…3a8abacked Sporting CP | 53c | 699.99$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed CF Estrela da Amadora | 53c | 566$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.02 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d47…64eebacked Sporting CP | 40c | 500.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed CF Estrela da Amadora | 46c | 425$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.5 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed CF Estrela da Amadora | 49c | 382.56$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.86 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked CF Estrela da Amadora | 52c | 306.78$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.25 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…fe47backed Sporting CP | 48c | 281.25$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Sporting CP | 49c | 263$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.87 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca15…0d5ebacked Sporting CP | 50c | 260$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6f…1dfebacked Sporting CP | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7953…9fd1backed Sporting CP | 36c | 234.87$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.22 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38bd…b8f3backed CF Estrela da Amadora | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Sporting CP | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 50%70 W · 70 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Sporting CP | 49c | 130.41$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Sporting CP | 49c | 130$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed CF Estrela da Amadora | 69c | 125.95$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Sporting CP | 56c | 116.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.51 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed CF Estrela da Amadora | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…d209backed Sporting CP | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Sporting CP | 56c | 88.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…1910backed Sporting CP | 58c | 86.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed CF Estrela da Amadora | 53c | 81.13$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed CF Estrela da Amadora | 42c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 273 | 60.8%166 W · 107 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked CF Estrela da Amadora | 46c | 76.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.97 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Sporting CP | 56c | 72.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Sporting CP | 35c | 57.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -7.1wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Sporting CP | 51c | 53.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sporting CP | 30c | 51.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Sporting CP | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked CF Estrela da Amadora | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +5.8wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4e15…d2c9backed Sporting CP | 56c | 48.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed CF Estrela da Amadora | 47c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…65f2backed CF Estrela da Amadora | 49c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Sporting CP | 48c | 43.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba7…8732backed Sporting CP | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed CF Estrela da Amadora | 50c | 36.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Sporting CP | 56c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 205 | 50.7%104 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed CF Estrela da Amadora | 54c | 33.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed CF Estrela da Amadora | 70c | 33.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked CF Estrela da Amadora | 58c | 32.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dff…bb1ebacked CF Estrela da Amadora | 41c | 30.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e68…fcb9backed CF Estrela da Amadora | 67c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…a618backed CF Estrela da Amadora | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed CF Estrela da Amadora | 59c | 28.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Sporting CP | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked CF Estrela da Amadora | 49c | 26.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Sporting CP | 47c | 26.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed CF Estrela da Amadora | 49c | 25.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked CF Estrela da Amadora | 53c | 25.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed CF Estrela da Amadora | 50c | 25.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0617…08d9backed Sporting CP | 78c | 20.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 79cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked CF Estrela da Amadora | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +11.0wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed CF Estrela da Amadora | 60c | 18.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)this page
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: CF Estrela da Amadora 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5Over won
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5Over won
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: O/U 4.5Under won
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CF Estrela da Amadora (-1.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)CF Estrela da Amadora won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.