Other European Leagues · resolved market
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87265aa9c14acbbb221168a7c598c25cfb17c275608d9ad6daaa215860c8efb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 20c | 2,912$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.28 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 39c | 2,200$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.37 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 2,063$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.38 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Under | 74c | 1,386$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.7 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Under | 79c | 1,363$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 80c | 954.93$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.99 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 61c | 806.99$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.1 | 75 | 77.3%58 W · 17 L | +12.7wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Over | 22c | 552.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.89 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Under | 38c | 521.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.38 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Under | 31c | 433.52$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.07 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 78c | 393.51$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.2 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 16c | 304.87$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Over | 19c | 213$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 77c | 189.15$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.77 | 135 | 73.3%99 W · 36 L | +24.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5a…4063backed Over | 23c | 103.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 26c | 91.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 63c | 88.76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.26 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 64c | 78.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 61c | 77.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 17c | 72.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x290a…0994backed Over | 23c | 64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked Over | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +850.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 61c | 54.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a3…fd93backed Under | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…6f17backed Over | 46c | 49.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Under | 62c | 49.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 61c | 47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 24c | 45.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 69 | 71%49 W · 20 L | +10.6wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c70…14a8backed Under | 50c | 26.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 61c | 22.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…6a89backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: CF Estrela da Amadora 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5Over won
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5Over won
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: O/U 4.5Under won
- CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CF Estrela da Amadora (-1.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)CF Estrela da Amadora won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)CF Estrela da Amadora won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.