TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x564b…1e19

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst La Liga at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT3548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$13.07
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.06
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.86
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+89.5%+$31.16
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.19
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+71.3%+$10.48
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.26
France vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+57.2%+$11.44
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+172.4%+$109.68
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+76.3%+$34.06
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$43.79
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.78
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.73
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.46
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+107.4%+$38.97
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.98
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+88.2%+$12.16
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$5.87
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.16
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.33
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.82
Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.81
Will Albania win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.27
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.82
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.44
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT3259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$5.11
Will Club Cerro Porteño win on 2026-05-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+86.8%+$17.35
Cruzeiro EC vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$15.07
Cruzeiro EC vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+89.6%+$16.99
SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$7.29
SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
Club Bolívar vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+141.5%+$25.24
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Platense: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.93
CA Mineiro vs. Academia Puerto Cabello: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+128.8%+$23.12
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.4
CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+180.2%+$24.56
LDU de Quito vs. Club Always Ready: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+116.5%+$17.36
Clube do Remo vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.26
Cruzeiro EC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$15.67
Cruzeiro EC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.04
Cruzeiro EC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$4.88
São Paulo FC vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.75
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.57
Will CA Peñarol win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.51
CD Universidad Católica vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$26.14
Will Racing Club win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.58
CA Mineiro vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.95
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+79.8%+$21.07
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Erzurumspor FK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Will Viking FK win on 2026-07-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.99
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-05-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.81
Rosenborg BK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+66.2%+$9.47
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$7.67
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+81%+$13.97
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$14.29
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$6.65
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.37per pick43cpaid+117.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-41.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$35.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+102%+$41.45
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+154%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+154%+$58.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paderborn win on 2026-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.69
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.