South American Leagues · resolved market
Cruzeiro EC vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f7c02a67922d4cf6fa5e3a0beee6b5c7b7552bb037a98e0e741f32e6817b34f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 49c | 1,637$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.11 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 53c | 1,565$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.52 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 51c | 1,363$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.58 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 73c | 1,271$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.15 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 31c | 1,184$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.13 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 1,161$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.51 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…d93bbacked Under | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 47c | 1,069$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.11 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 50c | 1,034$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…4d03backed Under | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 4cpaid | +1,288.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Over | 55c | 440.14$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.49 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c2…b6a5backed Over | 51c | 287.08$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Under | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 48c | 219.05$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Under | 35c | 208.37$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.09 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Over | 50c | 197.96$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.98 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcb…f3afbacked Over | 54c | 176.98$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.41 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 49c | 160.95$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Over | 51c | 127.45$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -65%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 49c | 127.45$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.45 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc93…b91dbacked Under | 53c | 126.42$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 49c | 108.35$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.09 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 29c | 104.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 101.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…a2d3backed Under | 50c | 99.37$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Over | 50c | 82.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Under | 48c | 74.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Under | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 45c | 68.72$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 49c | 64.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 48c | 64.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 63c | 63.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 50c | 60.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 63c | 59.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 51c | 53.07$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 51c | 50.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…2b66backed Under | 34c | 41.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x564b…1e19backed Over | 62c | 39.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Over | 56c | 31.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 60c | 30.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 38c | 26.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | -16.3wins | -0.36per pick | 43cpaid | -90.1%equal weight | 24-0.23 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 68c | 21.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 72c | 20.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd074…5a54backed Over | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 44 | 84.1%37 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cruzeiro EC vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 2.5this page
- Cruzeiro EC vs. Barcelona SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)Cruzeiro EC won
- Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-2.5)Cruzeiro EC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.