South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7666e99f4cc95a3a8c47533301db59c1cc448fdd322ef100a327595af8107314
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cruzeiro ECof Cruzeiro EC, Barcelona SC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,293
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Barcelona SC | 49c | 15,491$7,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,537.87 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed Cruzeiro EC | 52c | 15,000$7,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,241.22 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Cruzeiro EC | 50c | 1,578$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Cruzeiro EC | 50c | 1,560$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.97 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…f1bfbacked Cruzeiro EC | 50c | 1,342$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Barcelona SC | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Cruzeiro EC | 50c | 1,150$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.87 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +81%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1362…f403backed Barcelona SC | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Cruzeiro EC | 52c | 803.02$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.45 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Barcelona SC | 48c | 736.27$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.41 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Barcelona SC | 49c | 600.01$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.86 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Barcelona SC | 43c | 586$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.27 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Cruzeiro EC | 50c | 484.14$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.07 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked Cruzeiro EC | 52c | 482.3$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.86 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Barcelona SC | 47c | 474.65$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.58 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Cruzeiro EC | 65c | 409$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.13 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Barcelona SC | 48c | 241.87$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.57 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Cruzeiro EC | 51c | 238.61$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.92 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Barcelona SC | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Barcelona SC | 50c | 208$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Cruzeiro EC | 47c | 208$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.24 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Cruzeiro EC | 50c | 208$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Cruzeiro EC | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked Cruzeiro EC | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Barcelona SC | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Barcelona SC | 37c | 193.81$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.68 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Barcelona SC | 48c | 181.45$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.66 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Cruzeiro EC | 52c | 164.67$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.04 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Cruzeiro EC | 51c | 125$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Barcelona SC | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cruzeiro EC | 58c | 121.87$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Cruzeiro EC | 50c | 119.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Barcelona SC | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Barcelona SC | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Barcelona SC | 48c | 102$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…c6bbbacked Cruzeiro EC | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed Cruzeiro EC | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Cruzeiro EC | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Cruzeiro EC | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 59 | 72.9%43 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Barcelona SC | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Cruzeiro EC | 54c | 93.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.28 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Barcelona SC | 48c | 90.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Cruzeiro EC | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Barcelona SC | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Barcelona SC | 48c | 68.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Cruzeiro EC | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Barcelona SC | 49c | 49.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Cruzeiro EC | 53c | 47.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Barcelona SC | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Cruzeiro EC | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Barcelona SC | 48c | 37.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Barcelona SC | 48c | 34.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Barcelona SC | 49c | 32.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Barcelona SC | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0614…ff8bbacked Cruzeiro EC | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Barcelona SC | 44c | 27.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Barcelona SC | 49c | 25.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b6…e356backed Cruzeiro EC | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…7acdbacked Cruzeiro EC | 79c | 16.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)this page
- Cruzeiro EC vs. Barcelona SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-2.5)Cruzeiro EC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.